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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 83%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 57.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds83%83%78¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed88¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $114 (1.14x)O/U 0.5 Rounds83%Polymarket 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
83%
83%
78¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
88¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds57.5%57.5%54¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)O/U 1.5 Rounds57.5%Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
57.5%
57.5%
54¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Ends before Round 3?52.5%52.5%51¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed54¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Ends before Round 3?52.5%Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ends before Round 3?
52.5%
52.5%
51¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
54¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Ends before Round 3?
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 52.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki50.5%50.5%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed51¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki
50.5%
50.5%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
51¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $9K
Fight won by KO/TKO?48%48%44¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Fight won by KO/TKO?48%Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
48%
48%
44¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $27
O/U 2.5 Rounds42.5%42.5%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed43¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $233 (2.33x)O/U 2.5 Rounds42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
42.5%
42.5%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
43¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Decision or Draw35.5%35.5%30¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Decision or Draw35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Decision or Draw
35.5%
35.5%
30¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Decision or Draw
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Fight won by decision?35.5%35.5%30¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Fight won by decision?35.5%Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
35.5%
30¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Fight won by decision?
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Fight to Go the Distance?34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Fight to Go the Distance?34.5%Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $3
Ends before Round 2?30.5%30.5%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Ends before Round 2?30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Ends before Round 2?
30.5%
30.5%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Ends before Round 2?
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $6
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Decision / Draw / No Contest29%Not listed29%25¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 2 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Decision / Draw / No Contest29%Kalshi 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
29%
Not listed
29%
25¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $200
Oki to win by KO/TKO?27%27%23¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Oki to win by KO/TKO?27%Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Oki to win by KO/TKO?
27%
27%
23¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Oki to win by KO/TKO?
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oki to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Santos to win by KO/TKO?21%21%17¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Santos to win by KO/TKO?21%Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Santos to win by KO/TKO?
21%
21%
17¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Santos to win by KO/TKO?
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Santos to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 118%Not listed18%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 2 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 118%Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 1
18%
Not listed
18%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 1
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $136
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 117%Not listed17%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 2 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Bolaji Oki to win in Round 117%Kalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 1
17%
Not listed
17%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 1
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bolaji Oki to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $725
Fight won by submission?17%17%13¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Fight won by submission?17%Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Fight won by submission?
17%
17%
13¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
21¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Fight won by submission?
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Oki in Round 116.5%16.5%12¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed21¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Oki in Round 116.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Oki in Round 1
16.5%
16.5%
12¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
21¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Oki in Round 1
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oki in Round 1
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Santos in Round 114.5%14.5%10¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Santos in Round 114.5%Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Santos in Round 1
14.5%
14.5%
10¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Santos in Round 1
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Santos in Round 1
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Santos in Round 213%13%8¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Santos in Round 213%Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Santos in Round 2
13%
13%
8¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Santos in Round 2
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Santos in Round 2
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 211%Not listed11%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 211%Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 2
11%
Not listed
11%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 2
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 210%Not listed10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Bolaji Oki to win in Round 210%Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 2
10%
Not listed
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 2
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bolaji Oki to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $502
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 39%Not listed9%5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 39%Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 3
9%
Not listed
9%
5¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 3
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Gustavo Santos to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2K
Oki in Round 29%9%4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Oki in Round 29%Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Oki in Round 2
9%
9%
4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Oki in Round 2
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oki in Round 2
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Santos in Round 38.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Santos in Round 38.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Santos in Round 3
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Santos in Round 3
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Santos in Round 3
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 36%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 2 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Bolaji Oki to win in Round 36%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 3
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Bolaji Oki to win in Round 3
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bolaji Oki to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $65
Oki in Round 36%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Oki in Round 36%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Oki in Round 3
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Oki in Round 3
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oki in Round 3
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 3?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bolaji Oki vs. Daniel Gustavo Santos: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 83%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 57.5%. $16K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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