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What the markets expect
Over 0.5 goals scored 96.5%
Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 85%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 0.5 goals scored96.5%Not listed96.5%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 2 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 0.5 goals scored96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
96.5%
Not listed
96.5%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 1.5 goals scored85%Not listed85%84¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 2 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 1.5 goals scored85%Kalshi 85%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
85%
Not listed
85%
84¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Over 2.5 goals scored65%Not listed65%65¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 2 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Over 2.5 goals scored65%Kalshi 65%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
65%
Not listed
65%
65¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 2.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $420
Middlesbrough FC60.5%60.5%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed61¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Middlesbrough FC60.5%Polymarket 60.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Middlesbrough FC
60.5%
60.5%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
61¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Middlesbrough FC
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Middlesbrough FC
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $5K
Over 3.5 goals scored43%Not listed43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 2 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 3.5 goals scored43%Kalshi 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
43%
Not listed
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $886
Over 4.5 goals scored24%Not listed24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 4.5 goals scored24%Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
24%
Not listed
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 4.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC)
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $135
Bolton Wanderers FC18.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just nowNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Bolton Wanderers FC18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Bolton Wanderers FC
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Bolton Wanderers FC
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bolton Wanderers FC
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $786
Over 5.5 goals scored12%Not listed12%11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 5.5 goals scored12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
12%
Not listed
12%
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 5.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: efl.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Over 2.5 goals scored
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bolton vs Middlesbrough: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 96.5%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 85%. $7K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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