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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
SNSD 93%
Next is Labor at 67.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
SNSD93%Not listed93%93¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 47s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)SNSD93%Kalshi 93%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SNSD
93%
Not listed
93%
93¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SNSD
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SNSD
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $10K
Labor67.5%67.5%62¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Labor67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Labor
67.5%
67.5%
62¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Labor
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Labor
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $3K
Liberal–National18.3%18.3%15.5¢ bid, 21.1¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed21.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $474 (4.74x)Liberal–National18.3%Polymarket 18.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $474 (4.74x)
Liberal–National
18.3%
18.3%
15.5¢ bid, 21.1¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
21.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $474 (4.74x)
Liberal–National
18.3%
Polymarket 18.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $474 (4.74x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liberal–National
- Last price
- 18.3%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 15.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $474 (4.74x)
- Volume
- $928
One Nation14.8%14.8%4.7¢ bid, 24.8¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed24.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $403 (4.03x)One Nation14.8%Polymarket 14.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $403 (4.03x)
One Nation
14.8%
14.8%
4.7¢ bid, 24.8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
24.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $403 (4.03x)
One Nation
14.8%
Polymarket 14.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $403 (4.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- One Nation
- Last price
- 14.8%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $403 (4.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
DF/GS2%Not listed2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)DF/GS2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
DF/GS
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
DF/GS
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DF/GS
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
SDP2%Not listed2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 47s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)SDP2%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
SDP
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
SDP
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDP
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
BH Zeleni1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)BH Zeleni1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BH Zeleni
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
BH Zeleni
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BH Zeleni
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
BHI1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)BHI1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
BHI
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
BHI
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BHI
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Crvene linije1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Crvene linije1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Crvene linije
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Crvene linije
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crvene linije
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
DNS-NPS1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)DNS-NPS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DNS-NPS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DNS-NPS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DNS-NPS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
HDZ coalition1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)HDZ coalition1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
HDZ coalition
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
HDZ coalition
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- HDZ coalition
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $15K
Hrvatska petorka1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Hrvatska petorka1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Hrvatska petorka
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Hrvatska petorka
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hrvatska petorka
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Laburisti1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Laburisti1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laburisti
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laburisti
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laburisti
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Narodni front1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Narodni front1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Narodni front
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Narodni front
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Narodni front
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
NES/PDA/Naprijed1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NES/PDA/Naprijed1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NES/PDA/Naprijed
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NES/PDA/Naprijed
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NES/PDA/Naprijed
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
NiP1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NiP1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NiP
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NiP
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NiP
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
NS1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
PSS1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)PSS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
PSS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
PSS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- PSS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Republikanci1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Republikanci1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Republikanci
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Republikanci
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Republikanci
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
SBB1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)SBB1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SBB
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SBB
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SBB
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
SBiH1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)SBiH1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SBiH
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SBiH
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SBiH
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
SDA1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 47s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)SDA1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
SDA
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
SDA
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDA
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
SDS1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)SDS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SDS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SDS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
SP-DEMOS1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)SP-DEMOS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SP-DEMOS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SP-DEMOS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SP-DEMOS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
SPS1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)SPS1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SPS
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
SPS
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SPS
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Ujedinjena Srpska1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ujedinjena Srpska1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ujedinjena Srpska
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ujedinjena Srpska
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ujedinjena Srpska
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Volja Naroda1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Volja Naroda1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Volja Naroda
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Volja Naroda
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Volja Naroda
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
ZPR1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)ZPR1%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
ZPR
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
ZPR
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- ZPR
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Greens0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 2 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Greens0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Greens
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Greens
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Greens
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $424
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: vec.vic.gov.au
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- SNSD
- Labor
- Liberal–National
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list SNSD for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?". SNSD leads at 93%. Next is Labor at 67.5%. $108K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 4, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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