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What the markets expect
SDA 93%
Next is Elmedin Konaković at 11.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
SDA93%Not listed93%93¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 2 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)SDA93%Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
SDA
93%
Not listed
93%
93¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
SDA
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDA
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $3K
Elmedin Konaković11.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Elmedin Konaković11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Elmedin Konaković
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Elmedin Konaković
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elmedin Konaković
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $35K
Edin Forto9.6%9.6%1¢ bid, 18.2¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed18.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $549 (5.49x)Edin Forto9.6%Polymarket 9.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $549 (5.49x)
Edin Forto
9.6%
9.6%
1¢ bid, 18.2¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
18.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $549 (5.49x)
Edin Forto
9.6%
Polymarket 9.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $549 (5.49x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Edin Forto
- Last price
- 9.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $549 (5.49x)
- Volume
- $484
Saša Magazinović7.5%7.5%0.8¢ bid, 14.2¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed14.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $704 (7.04x)Saša Magazinović7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Saša Magazinović
7.5%
7.5%
0.8¢ bid, 14.2¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
14.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Saša Magazinović
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $704 (7.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Saša Magazinović
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $704 (7.04x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nermin Nikšić6.8%6.8%6.6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Nermin Nikšić6.8%Polymarket 6.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nermin Nikšić
6.8%
6.8%
6.6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Nermin Nikšić
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nermin Nikšić
- Last price
- 6.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $34K
SNSD5%Not listed5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 2 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)SNSD5%Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
SNSD
5%
Not listed
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
SNSD
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SNSD
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $256
Denis Zvizdić4.9%4.9%1.3¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed8.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Denis Zvizdić4.9%Polymarket 4.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Denis Zvizdić
4.9%
4.9%
1.3¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
8.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Denis Zvizdić
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denis Zvizdić
- Last price
- 4.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $17K
Bakir Izetbegović4.6%4.6%0.3¢ bid, 8.8¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed8.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)Bakir Izetbegović4.6%Polymarket 4.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Bakir Izetbegović
4.6%
4.6%
0.3¢ bid, 8.8¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
8.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Bakir Izetbegović
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,136 (11.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bakir Izetbegović
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,136 (11.4x)
- Volume
- $986
eljko Komšić4.3%4.3%1.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)eljko Komšić4.3%Polymarket 4.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
eljko Komšić
4.3%
4.3%
1.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
eljko Komšić
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- eljko Komšić
- Last price
- 4.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
DF4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)DF4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DF
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
DF
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DF
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $188
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
HDZ BiH4%Not listed4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)HDZ BiH4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
HDZ BiH
4%
Not listed
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
HDZ BiH
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- HDZ BiH
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $21
NES4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NES4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NES
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NES
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NES
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $24
NiP4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)NiP4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NiP
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
NiP
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- NiP
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $80
SDS4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)SDS4%Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SDS
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SDS
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDS
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $95
Radovan Višković3.8%3.8%0.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Radovan Višković3.8%Polymarket 3.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Radovan Višković
3.8%
3.8%
0.3¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Radovan Višković
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Radovan Višković
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $122
Staša Košarac3.6%3.6%0.7¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)Staša Košarac3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Staša Košarac
3.6%
3.6%
0.7¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Staša Košarac
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Staša Košarac
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nebojša Vukanović2.6%2.6%0.7¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed4.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)Nebojša Vukanović2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Nebojša Vukanović
2.6%
2.6%
0.7¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
4.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Nebojša Vukanović
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nebojša Vukanović
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Srđan Amidžić2.3%2.3%0.8¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed3.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Srđan Amidžić2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Srđan Amidžić
2.3%
2.3%
0.8¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
3.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Srđan Amidžić
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Srđan Amidžić
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Naša Stranka2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Naša Stranka2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Naša Stranka
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Naša Stranka
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naša Stranka
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
PDP2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)PDP2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
PDP
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
PDP
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- PDP
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Denis Bećirović2%2%0.3¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Denis Bećirović2%Polymarket 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Denis Bećirović
2%
2%
0.3¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Denis Bećirović
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denis Bećirović
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $365
Zoran Tegeltija1.9%1.9%0.5¢ bid, 3.3¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed3.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)Zoran Tegeltija1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Zoran Tegeltija
1.9%
1.9%
0.5¢ bid, 3.3¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
3.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Zoran Tegeltija
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zoran Tegeltija
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,030 (30.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Zukan Helez1.4%1.4%0.5¢ bid, 2.3¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed2.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)Zukan Helez1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Zukan Helez
1.4%
1.4%
0.5¢ bid, 2.3¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
2.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Zukan Helez
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zukan Helez
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,348 (43.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Borjana Krišto1.3%1.3%0.7¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Borjana Krišto1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Borjana Krišto
1.3%
1.3%
0.7¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Borjana Krišto
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borjana Krišto
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $6K
Semir Efendić1.2%1.2%0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Semir Efendić1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Semir Efendić
1.2%
1.2%
0.2¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Semir Efendić
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Semir Efendić
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
SDP BiH1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 2 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)SDP BiH1%Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SDP BiH
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
SDP BiH
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SDP BiH
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $245
Dragan Čović0.8%0.8%0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Dragan Čović0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Dragan Čović
0.8%
0.8%
0.2¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Dragan Čović
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dragan Čović
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $2K
Sabina Ćudić0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 34s agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Sabina Ćudić0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sabina Ćudić
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 34s ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sabina Ćudić
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sabina Ćudić
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CIK BiH: Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- SDA
- Elmedin Konaković
- Edin Forto
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list SDA for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?". SDA leads at 93%. Next is Elmedin Konaković at 11.5%. $129K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 4, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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