The Prediction Markets

Bournemouth vs Milan: Total Goals

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$449K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
25 min ago
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What the markets expect

Over 1.5 goals scored 99%

Next is AFC Bournemouth at 98.3%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 8 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 26 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 26 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Over 1.5 goals scored
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
AFC Bournemouth
98.3%
Polymarket 98.3%live, 25 min agoBest Yes 98.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
AFC Bournemouth
Price
98.3%
As of
Live feed, 25 min ago
Buy Yes
98.5¢
Sell Yes
98.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$180K
Trade this on Polymarket
Over 2.5 goals scored
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 2.5 goals scored
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$102K
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 3.5 goals scored
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 3.5 goals scored
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 4.5 goals scored
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 4.5 goals scored
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Over 5.5 goals scored
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 5.5 goals scored
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
AFC Bournemouth
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan)
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
AC Milan
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 26 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
AC Milan
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 26 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$146K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Over 1.5 goals scored
  • AFC Bournemouth
  • Over 2.5 goals scored

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Over 1.5 goals scored for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bournemouth vs Milan: Total Goals". Over 1.5 goals scored leads at 99%. Next is AFC Bournemouth at 98.3%. $449K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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