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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Vinicius Junior58%58%47¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Vinicius Junior58%Kalshi 58%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Vinicius Junior
58%
58%
47¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Vinicius Junior
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vinicius Junior
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $3K
Raphinha24%24%5¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Raphinha24%Kalshi 24%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Raphinha
24%
24%
5¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Raphinha
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raphinha
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Igor Thiago23%23%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Igor Thiago23%Kalshi 23%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Igor Thiago
23%
23%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Igor Thiago
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Igor Thiago
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Neymar16%16%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Neymar16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Neymar
16%
16%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Neymar
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Neymar
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $158
Matheus Cunha14%14%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Matheus Cunha14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Matheus Cunha
14%
14%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Matheus Cunha
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matheus Cunha
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $389
Endrick9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Endrick9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Endrick
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Endrick
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Endrick
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Rayan9%9%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Rayan9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rayan
9%
9%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rayan
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rayan
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $101
Gabriel Martinelli4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Gabriel Martinelli4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gabriel Martinelli
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gabriel Martinelli
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Martinelli
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Danilo4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Danilo4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Danilo
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Danilo
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danilo
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Danilo Oliveira4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Danilo Oliveira4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Danilo Oliveira
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Danilo Oliveira
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Danilo Oliveira
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Gabriel Magalhaes4%4%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Gabriel Magalhaes4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gabriel Magalhaes
4%
4%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gabriel Magalhaes
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gabriel Magalhaes
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $117
Luiz Henrique4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Luiz Henrique4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Luiz Henrique
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Luiz Henrique
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Luiz Henrique
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Wesley Franca4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Wesley Franca4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Wesley Franca
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Wesley Franca
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wesley Franca
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Lucas Paqueta3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Lucas Paqueta3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Lucas Paqueta
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Lucas Paqueta
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lucas Paqueta
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Marquinhos3%3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Marquinhos3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Marquinhos
3%
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Marquinhos
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marquinhos
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $0
Bruno Guimaraes2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Bruno Guimaraes2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bruno Guimaraes
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bruno Guimaraes
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bruno Guimaraes
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Casemiro2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Casemiro2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Casemiro
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Casemiro
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casemiro
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Fabinho2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Fabinho2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Fabinho
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Fabinho
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fabinho
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Alex Sandro1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Alex Sandro1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alex Sandro
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Alex Sandro
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Sandro
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Bremer1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Bremer1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bremer
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bremer
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bremer
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Douglas Santos1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Douglas Santos1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Douglas Santos
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Douglas Santos
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Douglas Santos
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Leo Pereira1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Leo Pereira1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Leo Pereira
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Leo Pereira
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leo Pereira
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
No Goalscorer1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)No Goalscorer1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
No Goalscorer
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
No Goalscorer
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Roger Ibanez1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3028 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Roger Ibanez1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Roger Ibanez
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3028 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Roger Ibanez
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3028 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roger Ibanez
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Vinicius Junior
- Raphinha
- Igor Thiago
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Brazil: Goal Leader". Vinicius Junior last traded at 58%. Next is Raphinha at 24%. $12K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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