The Prediction Markets

Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026)

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$19K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Remo 97.9%

Next is Chapecoense at 97.6%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Remo
97.9%
Polymarket 97.9%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Remo
Last price
97.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$964
Trade this on Polymarket
Chapecoense
97.6%
Polymarket 97.6%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 99.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chapecoense
Last price
97.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.5¢
Sell Yes
95.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$748
Trade this on Polymarket
Grêmio
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grêmio
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Internacional
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Internacional
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Santos
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Santos
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
São Paulo
49.9%
Polymarket 49.9%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
São Paulo
Last price
49.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Red Bull Bragantino
49.7%
Polymarket 49.7%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 98.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Red Bull Bragantino
Last price
49.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Mirassol
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mirassol
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Corinthians
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Corinthians
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$556
Trade this on Polymarket
Coritiba
25.4%
Polymarket 25.4%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 49.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $201 (2.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Coritiba
Last price
25.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$82
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Vitória
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vitória
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Botafogo
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Botafogo
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$36
Trade this on Polymarket
Vasco da Gama
8.2%
Polymarket 8.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vasco da Gama
Last price
8.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$721
Trade this on Polymarket
Cruzeiro
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cruzeiro
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$917
Trade this on Polymarket
Athletico Paranaense
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Athletico Paranaense
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bahia
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bahia
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fluminense
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fluminense
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Palmeiras
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Palmeiras
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Atlético Mineiro
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Mineiro
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Flamengo
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 54s agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Flamengo
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Remo
  • Chapecoense
  • Grêmio

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Série A: Teams relegated (2026)". Remo leads at 97.9%. Next is Chapecoense at 97.6%. $19K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Brazil Série A at the conclusion of the 2026 Brazil Série A season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Brazil Série A for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Brazil Série A, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Brazil Série A. If the 2026 Brazil Série A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Brazil Série A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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