The Prediction Markets

Brent crude oil price on May 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Closed
May 18, 2026
Traded
$39K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on May 18, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
above $105.50
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $105.50
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $104.50
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $104.50
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $105
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $105
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $104
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $104
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $106
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $106
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $106.50
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $106.50
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$755
Trade this on Kalshi
above $107
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $107
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $107.50
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $107.50
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$927
Trade this on Kalshi
above $108
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $108
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $108.50
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $108.50
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
above $110
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $110
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $109.50
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $109.50
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $109
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $109
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $110.50
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $110.50
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $111
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $111
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $111.50
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $111.50
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$526
Trade this on Kalshi
above $112.50
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $112.50
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Kalshi
above $113
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $113
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$862
Trade this on Kalshi
above $113.50
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $113.50
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
above $112
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3822 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
above $112
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange)

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • above $105.50
  • above $104.50
  • above $105

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Brent crude oil price on May 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?". above $105.50 last traded at 94%. Next is above $104.50 at 93%. $39K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on May 18, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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