The Prediction Markets

Brent crude oil price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Closes
Oct 22, 2026, within the hour
Traded
$27K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Above $103 99%

Next is Above $103.50 at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $103
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $103
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $103.50
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $103.50
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$282
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $104
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $104
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $104.50
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $104.50
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $102
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $102
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$476
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $102.50
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above $102.50
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$660
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $105.50
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $105.50
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $105
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $105
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$723
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $106
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $106
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$669
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $106.50
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $106.50
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Above $107
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $107
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $107.50
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $107.50
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $108
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $108
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $108.50
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $108.50
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $109
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $109
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $109.50
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $109.50
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$972
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $110
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $110
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $111
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $111
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$858
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $111.50
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $111.50
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $110.50
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $110.50
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Pyth - Brent

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $103
  • Above $103.50
  • Above $104

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Brent crude oil price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?". Above $103 leads at 99%. Next is Above $103.50 at 98%. $27K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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