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What the markets expect
Over 201.5 points 94%
Next is Over 203.5 points at 94%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 201.5 points94%94%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, just now98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 201.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 201.5 points
94%
94%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, just now
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 201.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 201.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $600
Over 203.5 points94%94%93¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, just now96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 203.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 203.5 points
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, just now
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 203.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 203.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $300
Over 205.5 points94%94%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, just now94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 205.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 205.5 points
94%
94%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, just now
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 205.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 205.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $9
Over 207.5 points91.5%91.5%89¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, just now94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 207.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 207.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
89¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, just now
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 207.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 207.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 209.5 points90%90%88¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, just now92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 209.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, just nowBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 209.5 points
90%
90%
88¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, just now
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 209.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, just nowBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 211.5 points88%88%86¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, just now90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Over 211.5 points88%Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 211.5 points
88%
88%
86¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, just now
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Over 211.5 points
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Over 213.5 points85%85%83¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, just now87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 213.5 points85%Kalshi 85%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 213.5 points
85%
85%
83¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, just now
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 213.5 points
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, just nowBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Over 215.5 points81.5%81.5%80¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, just now83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Over 215.5 points81.5%Kalshi 81.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 215.5 points
81.5%
81.5%
80¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, just now
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Over 215.5 points
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Over 217.5 points78%78%76¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, just now80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Over 217.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 217.5 points
78%
78%
76¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, just now
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 217.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, just nowBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Over 219.5 points75%75%73¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, just now77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 219.5 points75%Kalshi 75%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 219.5 points
75%
75%
73¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, just now
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 219.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 221.5 points71%71%69¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, just now73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 221.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 221.5 points
71%
71%
69¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, just now
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 221.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, just nowBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Over 223.5 points67%67%65¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, just now69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Over 223.5 points67%Kalshi 67%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 223.5 points
67%
67%
65¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, just now
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 223.5 points
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, just nowBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Over 225.5 points63.5%63.5%62¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just now65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Over 225.5 points63.5%Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 225.5 points
63.5%
63.5%
62¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Over 225.5 points
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Over 227.5 points59.5%59.5%57¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, just now62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Over 227.5 points59.5%Kalshi 59.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 227.5 points
59.5%
59.5%
57¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, just now
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 227.5 points
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Over 229.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, just now56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 229.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 229.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, just now
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 229.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Over 231.5 points49%49%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, just now51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Over 231.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 231.5 points
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, just now
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Over 231.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, just nowBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $463
Over 233.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, just now47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 233.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 233.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, just now
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 233.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, just nowBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Over 235.5 points40%40%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, just now42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Over 235.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 235.5 points
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, just now
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 235.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Over 237.5 points37.5%37.5%35¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, just now40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Over 237.5 points37.5%Kalshi 37.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 237.5 points
37.5%
37.5%
35¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, just now
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 237.5 points
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Over 239.5 points33.5%33.5%31¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, just now36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Over 239.5 points33.5%Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 239.5 points
33.5%
33.5%
31¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, just now
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 239.5 points
33.5%
Kalshi 33.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Over 241.5 points29.5%29.5%27¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, just now32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Over 241.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 241.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
27¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, just now
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 241.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Over 243.5 points26%26%24¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, just now28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 243.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 243.5 points
26%
26%
24¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, just now
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 243.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, just nowBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Over 245.5 points23%23%21¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, just now25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 245.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 245.5 points
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, just now
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 245.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Over 247.5 points19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Over 247.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 247.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Over 247.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Over 249.5 points16.5%16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just now19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 249.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 249.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 249.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 251.5 points14%14%12¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Over 251.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 251.5 points
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Over 251.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Over 253.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 253.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 253.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 253.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 255.5 points9%9%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, just now12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 255.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 255.5 points
9%
9%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, just now
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 255.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, just nowBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 255.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 257.5 points6%6%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 257.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 257.5 points
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 257.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 257.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 201.5 points
- Over 203.5 points
- Over 205.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Brooklyn vs Cleveland: Total Points". Over 201.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 203.5 points at 94%. $1K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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