The Prediction Markets

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closes
Oct 22, 2026, in 1 hour
Traded
$1.5M
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

73,000 or above 99.5%

Next is 73,250 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
73,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
73,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
74,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
75,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 70 more outcomes
75,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
75,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
76,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
76,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
77,250 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
77,250 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
77,750 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
77,750 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
78,250 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
78,250 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$670
Trade this on Kalshi
78,750 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
78,750 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,250 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
79,250 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,750 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
79,750 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,250 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,250 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,750 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,750 or above
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 or above
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 or above
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$79K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,250 or above
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,250 or above
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 or above
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 or above
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$86K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,750 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,750 or above
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$83K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$89K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$58K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$88K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$62K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$88K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$110K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$59K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$77K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,250 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,250 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,750 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,750 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$46
Trade this on Kalshi
89,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$119
Trade this on Kalshi
88,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
88,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
88,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
88,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
89,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
89,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
89,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
90,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
91,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,000 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92,250 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,250 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92,500 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,500 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92,750 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,750 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 73,000 or above
  • 73,250 or above
  • 73,500 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 73,000 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 73,250 or above at 99.5%. $1.5M has traded across 80 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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