The Prediction Markets

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 1 day
Traded
$1.7M
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

70,000 or above 99%

Next is 70,500 or above at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
70,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
70,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
70,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
71,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
71,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
74,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
74,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
75,500 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
75,500 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,000 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$139K
Trade this on Kalshi
69,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
69,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$45
Trade this on Kalshi
72,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$313
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
72,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
72,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$240
Trade this on Kalshi
73,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$224
Trade this on Kalshi
73,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
73,500 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$771
Trade this on Kalshi
74,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
74,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$476
Trade this on Kalshi
75,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
75,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,000 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$99K
Trade this on Kalshi
76,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
76,500 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
77,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
77,500 or above
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Kalshi
78,500 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
78,500 or above
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,000 or above
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,000 or above
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
79,500 or above
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
79,500 or above
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$64K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,000 or above
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,000 or above
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$96K
Trade this on Kalshi
80,500 or above
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
80,500 or above
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,000 or above
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,000 or above
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$189K
Trade this on Kalshi
81,500 or above
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
81,500 or above
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,000 or above
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,000 or above
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$150K
Trade this on Kalshi
82,500 or above
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
82,500 or above
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$88K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,000 or above
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,000 or above
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$109K
Trade this on Kalshi
83,500 or above
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
83,500 or above
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$74K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,000 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,000 or above
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$93K
Trade this on Kalshi
84,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
84,500 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,000 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,000 or above
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi
85,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
85,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Kalshi
86,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
88,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
89,000 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,000 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
90,000 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,000 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
91,500 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,500 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Kalshi
92,000 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,000 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
88,000 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
88,000 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
90,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
90,500 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
86,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
86,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$80K
Trade this on Kalshi
87,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
87,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
89,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
89,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
91,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
91,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
92,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
92,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$76
Trade this on Kalshi
93,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
93,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
93,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
93,500 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
94,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
94,000 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 70,000 or above
  • 70,500 or above
  • 71,000 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 70,000 or above leads at 99%. Next is 70,500 or above at 99%. $1.7M has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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