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What the markets expect
69,000 or above 98%
Next is 69,500 or above at 98%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 54 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
69,000 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask69,000 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
69,000 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
69,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,000 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
69,500 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask69,500 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
69,500 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
69,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 69,500 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
70,000 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask70,000 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
70,000 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
70,000 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,000 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
70,500 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask70,500 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
70,500 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
70,500 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 70,500 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
71,000 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask71,000 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
71,000 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
71,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,000 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
71,500 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask71,500 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
71,500 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
71,500 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 71,500 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
72,000 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask72,000 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
72,000 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
72,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,000 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
72,500 or above97.5%97.5%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 54 min agoNo ask72,500 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
72,500 or above
97.5%
97.5%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 54 min ago
No ask
72,500 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 72,500 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
73,000 or above97.5%97.5%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 54 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)73,000 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
73,000 or above
97.5%
97.5%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
73,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,000 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
73,500 or above97%97%96¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 54 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)73,500 or above97%Kalshi 97%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
73,500 or above
97%
97%
96¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
73,500 or above
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 73,500 or above
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
74,000 or above96%96%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 54 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)74,000 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
74,000 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
74,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,000 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
74,500 or above96%96%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 54 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)74,500 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
74,500 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
74,500 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 74,500 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $80
75,000 or above96%96%96¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 54 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)75,000 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
75,000 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
75,000 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,000 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
75,500 or above95.5%95.5%95¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 54 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)75,500 or above95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
75,500 or above
95.5%
95.5%
95¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
75,500 or above
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 75,500 or above
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
76,000 or above93%93%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 54 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)76,000 or above93%Kalshi 93%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
76,000 or above
93%
93%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
76,000 or above
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,000 or above
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
76,500 or above92%92%92¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 54 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)76,500 or above92%Kalshi 92%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
76,500 or above
92%
92%
92¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
76,500 or above
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 76,500 or above
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
77,000 or above89%89%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 54 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)77,000 or above89%Kalshi 89%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
77,000 or above
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
77,000 or above
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,000 or above
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
77,500 or above86%86%86¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 54 min ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)77,500 or above86%Kalshi 86%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
77,500 or above
86%
86%
86¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
77,500 or above
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 77,500 or above
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
78,000 or above83%83%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 54 min ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)78,000 or above83%Kalshi 83%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
78,000 or above
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
78,000 or above
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,000 or above
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
78,500 or above80%80%79¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 54 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)78,500 or above80%Kalshi 80%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
78,500 or above
80%
80%
79¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
78,500 or above
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 78,500 or above
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
79,000 or above77%77%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 54 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)79,000 or above77%Kalshi 77%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
79,000 or above
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
79,000 or above
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,000 or above
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $4
79,500 or above71%71%71¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 54 min ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)79,500 or above71%Kalshi 71%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
79,500 or above
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
79,500 or above
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 79,500 or above
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
80,000 or above65%65%64¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 54 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)80,000 or above65%Kalshi 65%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
80,000 or above
65%
65%
64¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
80,000 or above
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,000 or above
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
80,500 or above60%60%59¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 54 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)80,500 or above60%Kalshi 60%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
80,500 or above
60%
60%
59¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
80,500 or above
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 80,500 or above
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $100
81,000 or above53%53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 54 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)81,000 or above53%Kalshi 53%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
81,000 or above
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
81,000 or above
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,000 or above
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
81,500 or above46%46%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 54 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)81,500 or above46%Kalshi 46%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
81,500 or above
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
81,500 or above
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 81,500 or above
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
82,000 or above40%40%39¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 54 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)82,000 or above40%Kalshi 40%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
82,000 or above
40%
40%
39¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
82,000 or above
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,000 or above
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
82,500 or above34%34%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 54 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)82,500 or above34%Kalshi 34%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
82,500 or above
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
82,500 or above
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 82,500 or above
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
83,000 or above29%29%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 54 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)83,000 or above29%Kalshi 29%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
83,000 or above
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
83,000 or above
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,000 or above
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
83,500 or above23%23%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 54 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)83,500 or above23%Kalshi 23%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
83,500 or above
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
83,500 or above
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 83,500 or above
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
84,000 or above19%19%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 54 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)84,000 or above19%Kalshi 19%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
84,000 or above
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
84,000 or above
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,000 or above
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
84,500 or above16%16%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 54 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)84,500 or above16%Kalshi 16%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
84,500 or above
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
84,500 or above
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 84,500 or above
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
85,000 or above13%13%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 54 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)85,000 or above13%Kalshi 13%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
85,000 or above
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
85,000 or above
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,000 or above
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $9
85,500 or above10%10%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 54 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)85,500 or above10%Kalshi 10%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
85,500 or above
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
85,500 or above
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 85,500 or above
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $8
86,000 or above8%8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 54 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)86,000 or above8%Kalshi 8%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
86,000 or above
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
86,000 or above
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,000 or above
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
86,500 or above7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 54 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)86,500 or above7%Kalshi 7%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
86,500 or above
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
86,500 or above
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 86,500 or above
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
87,000 or above6%6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 54 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)87,000 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
87,000 or above
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
87,000 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,000 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
87,500 or above4%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 54 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)87,500 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
87,500 or above
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
87,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 87,500 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $21
88,000 or above4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)88,000 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
88,000 or above
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
88,000 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,000 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
88,500 or above4%4%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 54 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)88,500 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
88,500 or above
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
88,500 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 88,500 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
91,500 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 54 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)91,500 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
91,500 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
91,500 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,500 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
89,500 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)89,500 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
89,500 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
89,500 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,500 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
90,000 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)90,000 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
90,000 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
90,000 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,000 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
90,500 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)90,500 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
90,500 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
90,500 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 90,500 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
91,000 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)91,000 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
91,000 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
91,000 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 91,000 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
89,000 or above1%1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 54 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)89,000 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
89,000 or above
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
89,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 89,000 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
92,000 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)92,000 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,000 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,000 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)92,500 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
92,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 92,500 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)93,000 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,000 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,000 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 54 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)93,500 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 54 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
93,500 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 54 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 93,500 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 54 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 69,000 or above
- 69,500 or above
- 70,000 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 69,000 or above leads at 98%. Next is 69,500 or above at 98%. $1K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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