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Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Toledo wins by over 1.5 points93%93%90¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 376 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Toledo wins by over 1.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Toledo wins by over 1.5 points
93%
93%
90¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Toledo wins by over 1.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
Toledo wins by over 2.5 points90.5%90.5%89¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 376 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Toledo wins by over 2.5 points90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Toledo wins by over 2.5 points
90.5%
90.5%
89¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Toledo wins by over 2.5 points
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Toledo wins by over 3.5 points87.5%87.5%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 376 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Toledo wins by over 3.5 points87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Toledo wins by over 3.5 points
87.5%
87.5%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Toledo wins by over 3.5 points
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Toledo wins by over 4.5 points85.5%85.5%84¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 376 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Toledo wins by over 4.5 points85.5%Kalshi 85.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Toledo wins by over 4.5 points
85.5%
85.5%
84¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Toledo wins by over 4.5 points
85.5%
Kalshi 85.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Toledo wins by over 5.5 points84.5%84.5%83¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 376 h ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Toledo wins by over 5.5 points84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 5.5 points
84.5%
84.5%
83¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 5.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 6.5 points84%84%82¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 376 h ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Toledo wins by over 6.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 6.5 points
84%
84%
82¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 6.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Toledo wins by over 7.5 points79.5%79.5%78¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 376 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Toledo wins by over 7.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Toledo wins by over 7.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
78¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Toledo wins by over 7.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Toledo wins by over 9.5 points77%77%76¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 376 h ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Toledo wins by over 9.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Toledo wins by over 9.5 points
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Toledo wins by over 9.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Toledo wins by over 10.5 points75%75%74¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 376 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Toledo wins by over 10.5 points75%Kalshi 75%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Toledo wins by over 10.5 points
75%
75%
74¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Toledo wins by over 10.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
Toledo wins by over 11.5 points72.5%72.5%71¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 376 h ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Toledo wins by over 11.5 points72.5%Kalshi 72.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Toledo wins by over 11.5 points
72.5%
72.5%
71¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Toledo wins by over 11.5 points
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 72.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Toledo wins by over 13.5 points69%69%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 376 h ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Toledo wins by over 13.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Toledo wins by over 13.5 points
69%
69%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Toledo wins by over 13.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $833
Toledo wins by over 14.5 points65.5%65.5%64¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 376 h ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Toledo wins by over 14.5 points65.5%Kalshi 65.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Toledo wins by over 14.5 points
65.5%
65.5%
64¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Toledo wins by over 14.5 points
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Toledo wins by over 16.5 points62.5%62.5%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 376 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Toledo wins by over 16.5 points62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Toledo wins by over 16.5 points
62.5%
62.5%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Toledo wins by over 16.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Toledo wins by over 17.5 points57%57%58¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 376 h ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Toledo wins by over 17.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Toledo wins by over 17.5 points
57%
57%
58¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Toledo wins by over 17.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $436
Toledo wins by over 19.5 points54%54%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 376 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Toledo wins by over 19.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Toledo wins by over 19.5 points
54%
54%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Toledo wins by over 19.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $1K
Toledo wins by over 20.5 points51%51%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 376 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Toledo wins by over 20.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Toledo wins by over 20.5 points
51%
51%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Toledo wins by over 20.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $13K
Toledo wins by over 21.5 points45%45%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 376 h ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Toledo wins by over 21.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Toledo wins by over 21.5 points
45%
45%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Toledo wins by over 21.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Toledo wins by over 23.5 points43.5%43.5%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 376 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Toledo wins by over 23.5 points43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Toledo wins by over 23.5 points
43.5%
43.5%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Toledo wins by over 23.5 points
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Toledo wins by over 24.5 points39%39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 376 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Toledo wins by over 24.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Toledo wins by over 24.5 points
39%
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Toledo wins by over 24.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Toledo wins by over 27.5 points32.5%32.5%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 376 h ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Toledo wins by over 27.5 points32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Toledo wins by over 27.5 points
32.5%
32.5%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Toledo wins by over 27.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Toledo wins by over 30.5 points26%26%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 376 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Toledo wins by over 30.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Toledo wins by over 30.5 points
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Toledo wins by over 30.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $75
Toledo wins by over 33.5 points18.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 376 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Toledo wins by over 33.5 points18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Toledo wins by over 33.5 points
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Toledo wins by over 33.5 points
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Toledo wins by over 35.5 points15%15%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 376 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Toledo wins by over 35.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Toledo wins by over 35.5 points
15%
15%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Toledo wins by over 35.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $130
Toledo wins by over 38.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 376 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Toledo wins by over 38.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Toledo wins by over 38.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Toledo wins by over 38.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toledo wins by over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $212
Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points9%9%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 376 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points
9%
9%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $30
Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 376 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 376 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 376 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Toledo wins by over 1.5 points
- Toledo wins by over 2.5 points
- Toledo wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Buffalo vs Toledo: Spread". Toledo wins by over 1.5 points last traded at 93%. Next is Toledo wins by over 2.5 points at 90.5%. $18K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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