Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Kostadin Kostadinov 69.7%
Next is Andrey Gyurov at 48.9%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kostadin KostadinovArb69.7%92.5%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago90%89¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Kostadin KostadinovArb69.7%Polymarket 3.8%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Kostadin KostadinovArb
69.7%
92.5%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
90%
89¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Kostadin KostadinovArb
69.7%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 92.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kostadin Kostadinov
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $2K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kostadin Kostadinov
- Last price
- 92.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kostadin Kostadinov
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 4.2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 89¢ nets 8480 bps before fees.
Andrey GyurovArb48.9%1.9%0.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Andrey GyurovArb48.9%Polymarket 95.9%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andrey GyurovArb
48.9%
1.9%
0.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Andrey GyurovArb
48.9%
Polymarket 95.9%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andrey Gyurov
- Last price
- 95.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 94.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $7K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andrey Gyurov
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $208
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrey Gyurov
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 94.4¢ nets 9240 bps before fees.
Jean-Luc Mélenchon36.5%36.5%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Jean-Luc Mélenchon36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
36.5%
36.5%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $8K
douard Philippe25.5%25.5%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)douard Philippe25.5%Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
douard Philippe
25.5%
25.5%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
douard Philippe
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- douard Philippe
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $1K
Raphaël Glucksmann15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Raphaël Glucksmann15.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Raphaël Glucksmann
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Raphaël Glucksmann
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Gabriel Attal7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Gabriel Attal7.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gabriel Attal
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gabriel Attal
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriel Attal
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2K
David Lisnard6%6%4.8¢ bid, 7.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)David Lisnard6%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
David Lisnard
6%
6%
4.8¢ bid, 7.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
David Lisnard
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Lisnard
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,408 (14.1x)
- Volume
- $1K
Marine Le Pen4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Marine Le Pen4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Marine Le Pen
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Marine Le Pen
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marine Le Pen
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jordan Bardella3.1%3.1%0.3¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Jordan Bardella3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Jordan Bardella
3.1%
3.1%
0.3¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Jordan Bardella
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jordan Bardella
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $488
Ivaylo Simeonov3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ivaylo Simeonov3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivaylo Simeonov
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivaylo Simeonov
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivaylo Simeonov
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Ivelin Mihaylov3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ivelin Mihaylov3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivelin Mihaylov
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivelin Mihaylov
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivelin Mihaylov
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Bruno Retailleau2.5%2.5%0.3¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Bruno Retailleau2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Bruno Retailleau
2.5%
2.5%
0.3¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Bruno Retailleau
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Retailleau
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $474
Iliana Yotova2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Iliana Yotova2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Iliana Yotova
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Iliana Yotova
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iliana Yotova
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Ivan Hristanov2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ivan Hristanov2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivan Hristanov
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ivan Hristanov
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ivan Hristanov
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Nikolay Nenchev2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Nikolay Nenchev2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nikolay Nenchev
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Nikolay Nenchev
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nikolay Nenchev
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $400
Radostin Vasilev2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Radostin Vasilev2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Radostin Vasilev
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Radostin Vasilev
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Radostin Vasilev
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $800
Iliana Iotova1.4%3.8%2.6¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)Iliana Iotova1.4%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Iliana Iotova
1.4%
3.8%
2.6¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Iliana Iotova
1.4%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 3.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iliana Iotova
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $8,333 (83.3x)
- Volume
- $718
Polymarket
- Contract
- Iliana Iotova
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $146
Sarah Knafo1.4%1.4%0.9¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Sarah Knafo1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Sarah Knafo
1.4%
1.4%
0.9¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Sarah Knafo
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sarah Knafo
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $476
François Hollande1.4%1.4%0.8¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)François Hollande1.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
François Hollande
1.4%
1.4%
0.8¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
François Hollande
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- François Hollande
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $477
Dominique de Villepin1.2%1.2%0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)Dominique de Villepin1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Dominique de Villepin
1.2%
1.2%
0.5¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Dominique de Villepin
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dominique de Villepin
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $486
Krum Zarkov0.9%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Krum Zarkov0.9%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Krum Zarkov
0.9%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Krum Zarkov
0.9%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krum Zarkov
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $450
Polymarket
- Contract
- Krum Zarkov
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $146
Delyan Peevski0.9%2.3%0.3¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Delyan Peevski0.9%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Delyan Peevski
0.9%
2.3%
0.3¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Delyan Peevski
0.9%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Delyan Peevski
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $549
Polymarket
- Contract
- Delyan Peevski
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $146
Blagomir Kotsev0.9%2.2%0.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Blagomir Kotsev0.9%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Blagomir Kotsev
0.9%
2.2%
0.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Blagomir Kotsev
0.9%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Blagomir Kotsev
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $486
Polymarket
- Contract
- Blagomir Kotsev
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $169
ric Zemmour0.9%0.9%0.1¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)ric Zemmour0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
ric Zemmour
0.9%
0.9%
0.1¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
ric Zemmour
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- ric Zemmour
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $481
Nikolai Denkov0.8%2.4%0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Nikolai Denkov0.8%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Nikolai Denkov
0.8%
2.4%
0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Nikolai Denkov
0.8%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nikolai Denkov
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $475
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nikolai Denkov
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $208
Atanas Atanasov0.8%2.1%0.4¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Atanas Atanasov0.8%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Atanas Atanasov
0.8%
2.1%
0.4¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Atanas Atanasov
0.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Atanas Atanasov
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $450
Polymarket
- Contract
- Atanas Atanasov
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $146
Yanaki Stoilov0.8%2%0.3¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Yanaki Stoilov0.8%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Yanaki Stoilov
0.8%
2%
0.3¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Yanaki Stoilov
0.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yanaki Stoilov
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $514
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yanaki Stoilov
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $146
Christine Lagarde0.8%0.8%0.5¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christine Lagarde0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christine Lagarde
0.8%
0.8%
0.5¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christine Lagarde
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christine Lagarde
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1K
Boyko Borissov0.7%2.4%0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Boyko Borissov0.7%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Boyko Borissov
0.7%
2.4%
0.4¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Boyko Borissov
0.7%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Boyko Borissov
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $462
Polymarket
- Contract
- Boyko Borissov
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $167
Rosen Zhelyazkov0.7%2%0.4¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Rosen Zhelyazkov0.7%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Rosen Zhelyazkov
0.7%
2%
0.4¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Rosen Zhelyazkov
0.7%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosen Zhelyazkov
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $601
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosen Zhelyazkov
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $158
Rosen Plevneliev0.7%2.4%0.3¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Rosen Plevneliev0.7%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rosen Plevneliev
0.7%
2.4%
0.3¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Rosen Plevneliev
0.7%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosen Plevneliev
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $425
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosen Plevneliev
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $146
Vassil Terziev0.6%2.4%0.3¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Vassil Terziev0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Vassil Terziev
0.6%
2.4%
0.3¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Vassil Terziev
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vassil Terziev
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $567
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vassil Terziev
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $173
Natalia Kiselova0.6%1.9%0.3¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Natalia Kiselova0.6%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Natalia Kiselova
0.6%
1.9%
0.3¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Natalia Kiselova
0.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 47s agoPolymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Natalia Kiselova
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $414
Polymarket
- Contract
- Natalia Kiselova
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $166
François Ruffin0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)François Ruffin0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
François Ruffin
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
François Ruffin
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- François Ruffin
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $552
Marine Tondelier0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Marine Tondelier0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Marine Tondelier
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Marine Tondelier
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Marine Tondelier
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $285
Sébastien Lecornu0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Sébastien Lecornu0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sébastien Lecornu
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Sébastien Lecornu
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sébastien Lecornu
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $316
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Andrey Gyurov on Kalshi at 2¢, sell on Polymarket at 94.4¢ (9240 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Apr 18, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Central Election Commission of Bulgaria
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Apr 18, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kostadin Kostadinov
- Andrey Gyurov
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Live prices for Kostadin Kostadinov
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place". Kostadin Kostadinov leads at 69.7%. Next is Andrey Gyurov at 48.9%. $58K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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