The Prediction Markets

Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League

Closes
Jun 7, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

VfB Stuttgart 28.5%

Next is Bayer Leverkusen at 23%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayer Leverkusen
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayer Leverkusen
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FSV Mainz 05
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
FSV Mainz 05
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $535 (5.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18.7¢
Sell Yes
12.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$535 (5.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Union Berlin
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Union Berlin
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Mönchengladbach
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Eintracht Frankfurt
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
SV Elversberg
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $431 (4.31x)
Polymarket
Contract
SV Elversberg
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23.2¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$431 (4.31x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Freiburg
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Freiburg
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Schalke 04
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schalke 04
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Augsburg
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Augsburg
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Werder Bremen
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Werder Bremen
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
1. FC Köln
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1. FC Köln
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
SC Paderborn
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
SC Paderborn
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Polymarket
TSG Hoffenheim
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
TSG Hoffenheim
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hamburger SV
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hamburger SV
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Bayer Leverkusen
  • FSV Mainz 05

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bundesliga: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League". VfB Stuttgart leads at 28.5%. Next is Bayer Leverkusen at 23%. $25K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 7, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League through the 2026-27 Bundesliga season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Bundesliga league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Bundesliga standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Europa League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled or postponed past June 6, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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