Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
SC Paderborn 46%
Next is Borussia Mönchengladbach at 43.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
SC Paderborn46%46%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 37s ago47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)SC Paderborn46%Polymarket 46%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
SC Paderborn
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
SC Paderborn
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SC Paderborn
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $11K
Borussia Mönchengladbach43.5%43.5%42¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 37s ago45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Borussia Mönchengladbach43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
43.5%
43.5%
42¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $722
Union Berlin36.5%36.5%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 37s ago37¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Union Berlin36.5%Polymarket 36.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Union Berlin
36.5%
36.5%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
37¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Union Berlin
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Union Berlin
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $2K
FC Schalke 0432%32%31¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 37s ago33¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $303 (3.03x)FC Schalke 0432%Polymarket 32%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
FC Schalke 04
32%
32%
31¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
33¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
FC Schalke 04
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Schalke 04
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $689
1. FC Köln29.5%29.5%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 37s ago30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)1. FC Köln29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
1. FC Köln
29.5%
29.5%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
1. FC Köln
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1. FC Köln
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
SV Elversberg19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 37s ago22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)SV Elversberg19.5%Polymarket 19.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
SV Elversberg
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
SV Elversberg
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SV Elversberg
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $916
Hamburger SV17.5%17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 37s ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Hamburger SV17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Hamburger SV
17.5%
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Hamburger SV
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hamburger SV
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $8K
Werder Bremen12.5%12.5%11¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 37s ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Werder Bremen12.5%Polymarket 12.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Werder Bremen
12.5%
12.5%
11¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Werder Bremen
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Werder Bremen
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $3K
FC Augsburg11.5%11.5%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 37s ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)FC Augsburg11.5%Polymarket 11.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
FC Augsburg
11.5%
11.5%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
13¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
FC Augsburg
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- FC Augsburg
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Eintracht Frankfurt11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 37s ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Eintracht Frankfurt11%Polymarket 11%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Eintracht Frankfurt
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Eintracht Frankfurt
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
TSG Hoffenheim10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 37s ago11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)TSG Hoffenheim10%Polymarket 10%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
TSG Hoffenheim
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
TSG Hoffenheim
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- TSG Hoffenheim
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $492
Mainz 058.5%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 37s ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Mainz 058.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mainz 05
8.5%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
15¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Mainz 05
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mainz 05
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
VfB Stuttgart2.9%2.9%1.8¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 37s ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)VfB Stuttgart2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
VfB Stuttgart
2.9%
2.9%
1.8¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
VfB Stuttgart
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- VfB Stuttgart
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
SC Freiburg2.8%2.8%0.2¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 37s ago5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)SC Freiburg2.8%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
SC Freiburg
2.8%
2.8%
0.2¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
SC Freiburg
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SC Freiburg
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bayer Leverkusen2.7%2.7%0.4¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 37s ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Bayer Leverkusen2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Bayer Leverkusen
2.7%
2.7%
0.4¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Bayer Leverkusen
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bayer Leverkusen
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $295
Borussia Dortmund2.4%2.4%0.2¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago4.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)Borussia Dortmund2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Borussia Dortmund
2.4%
2.4%
0.2¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
4.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Borussia Dortmund
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Borussia Dortmund
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
RB Leipzig2%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 37s ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)RB Leipzig2%Polymarket 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
RB Leipzig
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
RB Leipzig
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- RB Leipzig
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $820
Bayern Munich1.9%1.9%0.2¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 37s ago3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Bayern Munich1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Bayern Munich
1.9%
1.9%
0.2¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 37s ago
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Bayern Munich
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 37s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bayern Munich
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $525
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- SC Paderborn
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Union Berlin
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Bundesliga: Teams relegated (2026-27)". SC Paderborn leads at 46%. Next is Borussia Mönchengladbach at 43.5%. $38K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.9%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco17%$195.8M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee65.1%$133.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.1M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$36.7M traded