The Prediction Markets

Bundesliga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27

Closes
May 31, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Harry Kane 59.7%

Next is Patrik Schick at 11%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Harry Kane 59.7%Patrik Schick 11%Serhou Guirassy 6.1%Michael Olise 4.7%Luis Díaz 3.2%12 others 15.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Harry Kane
59.7%
Polymarket 63.5%(59.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Harry Kane
Last price
63.5%
Fair, margin removed
59.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrik Schick
11%
Polymarket 11.8%(11% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Patrik Schick
Last price
11.8%
Fair, margin removed
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12.5¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$800 (8.00x)
Volume
$383
Trade this on Polymarket
Serhou Guirassy
6.1%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Serhou Guirassy
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael Olise
4.7%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael Olise
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,087 (10.9x)
Volume
$558
Trade this on Polymarket
Luis Díaz
3.2%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luis Díaz
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Polymarket
Deniz Undav
2.6%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deniz Undav
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$318
Trade this on Polymarket
Maximilian Beier
2.5%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Maximilian Beier
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$802
Trade this on Polymarket
Ermedin Demirović
1.9%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ermedin Demirović
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrej Kramarić
1.6%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrej Kramarić
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Chris Führich
1.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chris Führich
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Yussuf Poulsen
1.6%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yussuf Poulsen
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Can Uzun
1.5%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Can Uzun
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Polymarket
Tim Kleindienst
1.3%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tim Kleindienst
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
Victor Boniface
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Boniface
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Polymarket
Jonathan Burkardt
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jonathan Burkardt
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$245
Trade this on Polymarket
Ismael Saibari
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ismael Saibari
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
Jamal Musiala
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jamal Musiala
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Polymarket
Ritsu Doan
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ritsu Doan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$158
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Harry Kane
  • Patrik Schick
  • Serhou Guirassy

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Bundesliga: Top Goalscorer 2026-27". Harry Kane leads at 59.7%. Next is Patrik Schick at 11%. $21K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Only goals scored in Bundesliga matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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