The Prediction Markets

CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes

Starts in 3 daysKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

CA Barracas Central 65%

Next is Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes) at 24.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

CA Barracas Central 65%Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes) 24.5%AA Estudiantes 10.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
CA Barracas Central
65%
Polymarket 65%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
CA Barracas Central
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes)
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes)
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
AA Estudiantes
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
AA Estudiantes
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: afa.com.ar

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • CA Barracas Central
  • Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes)
  • AA Estudiantes

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes". CA Barracas Central leads at 65%. Next is Draw (CA Barracas Central vs. AA Estudiantes) at 24.5%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between CA Barracas Central and AA Estudiantes.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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