The Prediction Markets

Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4: Metacritic score

Closes
Oct 30, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$66K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 10 99%

Next is Above 20 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 10
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 60s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 20
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 60s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 20
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 30
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 60s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 30
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 40
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 60s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 40
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 60s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$627
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Above 85
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 95
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Metacritic

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 10
  • Above 20
  • Above 30

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4: Metacritic score". Above 10 leads at 99%. Next is Above 20 at 99%. $66K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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