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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Above 6.0% 96.5%
Next is Above 6.1% at 96.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 6.0%96.5%Not listed96.5%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 52s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 6.0%96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.0%
96.5%
Not listed
96.5%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.0%
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.0%
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.1%96.5%Not listed96.5%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 52s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 6.1%96.5%Kalshi 96.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.1%
96.5%
Not listed
96.5%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.1%
96.5%
Kalshi 96.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.1%
- Last price
- 96.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.2%92%Not listed92%90¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 52s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 6.2%92%Kalshi 92%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.2%
92%
Not listed
92%
90¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 6.2%
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.2%
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 6.3%92%Not listed92%86¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 52s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Above 6.3%92%Kalshi 92%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 6.3%
92%
Not listed
92%
86¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 6.3%
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.3%
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $253
Above 6.4%65%Not listed65%64¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 52s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Above 6.4%65%Kalshi 65%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Above 6.4%
65%
Not listed
65%
64¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Above 6.4%
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.4%
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 6.5%45%Not listed45%42¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 52s ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Above 6.5%45%Kalshi 45%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Above 6.5%
45%
Not listed
45%
42¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Above 6.5%
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.5%
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $60
4.2%34%34%33¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)4.2%34%Polymarket 34%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
4.2%
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
4.2%
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.2%
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $4K
4.3%31.5%31.5%28¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)4.3%31.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
4.3%
31.5%
31.5%
28¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
4.3%
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.3%
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $3K
4.1%28%28%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)4.1%28%Polymarket 28%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
4.1%
28%
28%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
4.1%
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.1%
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $6K
Above 6.6%23%Not listed23%21¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 52s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Above 6.6%23%Kalshi 23%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Above 6.6%
23%
Not listed
23%
21¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Above 6.6%
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.6%
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Above 6.7%10%Not listed10%5¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 52s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Above 6.7%10%Kalshi 10%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 6.7%
10%
Not listed
10%
5¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Above 6.7%
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.7%
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $13
4.0%5.3%5.3%4.1¢ bid, 6.5¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed6.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)4.0%5.3%Polymarket 5.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
4.0%
5.3%
5.3%
4.1¢ bid, 6.5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
6.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
4.0%
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.0%
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,538 (15.4x)
- Volume
- $951
Above 6.8%4.5%Not listed4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 52s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Above 6.8%4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 6.8%
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Above 6.8%
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.8%
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
4.4%3.3%3.3%0.6¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)4.4%3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
4.4%
3.3%
3.3%
0.6¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
4.4%
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.4%
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $1K
Above 6.9%3%Not listed3%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 52s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 6.9%3%Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 6.9%
3%
Not listed
3%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 6.9%
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 6.9%
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $156
4.6%1%1%0.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed1.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)4.6%1%Polymarket 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
4.6%
1%
1%
0.2¢ bid, 1.8¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
1.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
4.6%
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.6%
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $405
3.8%0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)3.8%0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
3.8%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
3.8%
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.8%
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $455
4.5%0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)4.5%0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
4.5%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
4.5%
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 4.5%
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $414
3.9%0.3%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 52s agoNot listed0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)3.9%0.3%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
3.9%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
Not listed
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
3.9%
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 3.9%
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $375
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 6.0%
- Above 6.1%
- Above 6.2%
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Above 6.0% for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Canada unemployment rate in October". Above 6.0% leads at 96.5%. Next is Above 6.1% at 96.5%. $22K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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