The Prediction Markets

Carlita Streams in 2026

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$26K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 50M 99%

Next is Above 52.5M at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 50M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
61¢
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 52.5M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 52.5M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 62.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 62.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$205
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 57.5M
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 57.5M
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 67.5M
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 67.5M
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60.0M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60.0M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70.0M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70.0M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 72.5M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 72.5M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75.0M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75.0M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65.0M
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65.0M
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 50M
  • Above 52.5M
  • Above 55M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Carlita Streams in 2026". Above 50M leads at 99%. Next is Above 52.5M at 99%. $26K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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