The Prediction Markets

CAVA restaurants in Q2

Closed
Sep 10, 2026
Traded
$15K
Venues
Kalshi
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Sep 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 470
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 470
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$309
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 475
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 475
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 476
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 476
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 477
69.5%
Kalshi 69.5%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 477
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 479
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 479
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 480
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 480
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 478
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 478
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 485
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 485
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 490
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3021 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 490
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 125 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fiscal.ai

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 470
  • Above 475
  • Above 476

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "CAVA restaurants in Q2". Above 470 last traded at 97%. Next is Above 475 at 82%. $15K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Sep 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More economics markets

See all economics markets