The Prediction Markets

CAVA total restaurants in Q3

Closes
Mar 10, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$37K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 478 99%

Next is Above 480 at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 478
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 478
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$178
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 480
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 480
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
97¢
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 482
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 482
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$284
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 484
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 484
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 486
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 486
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 488
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 488
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 490
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 490
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 492
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 492
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 498
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 498
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 494
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 494
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
96¢
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Above 496
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 47s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 496
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$914
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 500
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 500
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 506
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 506
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 502
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 502
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 504
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 504
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fiscal.ai

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 478
  • Above 480
  • Above 482

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "CAVA total restaurants in Q3". Above 478 leads at 99%. Next is Above 480 at 99%. $37K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 10, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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