The Prediction Markets

Celtics vs. 76ers

FinalKickoff
Traded
$6.6M
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 24, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 182 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1H Moneyline
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1H Moneyline
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
1H Spread -3.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1H Spread -3.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
1H Spread -4.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1H Spread -4.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
1H Spread -5.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1H Spread -5.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$303
Trade this on Polymarket
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 2.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 2.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$368
Trade this on Polymarket
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 1.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$885
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 0.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 0.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$209
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$314
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 46 more outcomes
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 3.5
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4372 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 3.5
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5
99.4%
Polymarket 99.4%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5
Last price
99.4%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
99¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Celtics vs. 76ers
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Celtics vs. 76ers
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$5.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -5.5
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -5.5
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -6.5
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -6.5
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$292K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 202.5
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 202.5
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$991
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Polymarket
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 0.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 0.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 0.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Neemias Queta: Assists O/U 0.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Paul George: Points O/U 18.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul George: Points O/U 18.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -7.5
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -7.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$595K
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 203.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 203.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -9.5
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -9.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -8.5
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -8.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$190K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 210.5
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 210.5
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 207.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 207.5
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 212.5
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 212.5
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$924
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 208.5
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 208.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 204.5
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 204.5
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$369
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -10.5
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -10.5
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 205.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 205.5
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 216.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 216.5
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$86K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 211.5
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 211.5
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$906
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 214.5
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 214.5
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread -11.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread -11.5
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 215.5
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 215.5
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$210K
Trade this on Polymarket
1H O/U 110.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1H O/U 110.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
1H O/U 111.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4372 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
1H O/U 111.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 182 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1H Moneyline
  • 1H Spread -3.5
  • 1H Spread -4.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Celtics vs. 76ers". 1H Moneyline last traded at 100%. Next is 1H Spread -3.5 at 100%. $6.6M has traded across 56 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 24, 2026.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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