The Prediction Markets

CF América vs. Club Tijuana

Starts in 6 daysKickoff
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

CF América 65.8%

Next is Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana) at 20.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

CF América 65.8%Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana) 20.8%Club Tijuana 13.4%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
CF América
65.8%
Polymarket 69.5%(65.8% fair)polled, 29s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
CF América
Last price
69.5%
Fair, margin removed
65.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana)
20.8%
Polymarket 22%(20.8% fair)polled, 29s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana)
Last price
22%
Fair, margin removed
20.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$156
Trade this on Polymarket
Club Tijuana
13.4%
Polymarket 14.2%(13.4% fair)polled, 29s agoBest Yes 23.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $431 (4.31x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Tijuana
Last price
14.2%
Fair, margin removed
13.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23.2¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$431 (4.31x)
Volume
$196
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligamx.net

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • CF América
  • Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana)
  • Club Tijuana

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "CF América vs. Club Tijuana". CF América leads at 65.8%. Next is Draw (CF América vs. Club Tijuana) at 20.8%. $8K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 29, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between CF América and Club Tijuana.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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