The Prediction Markets

Champions League Final Qualifiers

Closes
May 20, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

PSG 43%

Next is Barcelona at 35.6%. The venues differ most on Galatasaray (Polymarket 4%, Kalshi 24.5%), a 21-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
PSG
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona
35.6%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 40%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$867
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 32¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 34¢.

Real MadridArb
29%
Polymarket 20%polled, 60s agoKalshi 32%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 22¢ and selling on Kalshi at 25¢ nets 300 bps before fees.

Paris Saint-Germain
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
27.3%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 28%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 24¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 40¢.

Bayern MunichArb
25%
Polymarket 22%polled, 60s agoKalshi 28%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 23¢ and selling on Kalshi at 27¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Atletico
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dortmund
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 36 more outcomes
Leipzig
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bodø/Glimt
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shakhtar
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Liverpool
16.8%
Polymarket 11%polled, 60s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Manchester City
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 60s agoKalshi 16%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 16¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 18¢.

Manchester United
15%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Aston Villa
14.8%
Polymarket 7%polled, 60s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Club Brugge
14.6%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 60s agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Galatasaray
14.3%
Polymarket 4%polled, 60s agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Real Betis
13.7%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 60s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Sporting CP
13.6%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 60s agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Como
13.5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 60s agoKalshi 22%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 44¢.

Lille
12.9%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 60s agoKalshi 21.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 43¢.

LASK
12.8%
Polymarket 4%polled, 60s agoKalshi 21.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 43¢.

PSV Eindhoven
12.7%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 60s agoKalshi 21.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 43¢.

Roma
12%
Polymarket 6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 18%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 36¢.

Sabah Masazir
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Napoli
11.5%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 60s agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

AEK Athens
10.2%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 60s agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Porto
9%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 60s agoKalshi 14%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Viking
8.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.

Lens
8%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Slovan Bratislava
8%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Slavia Prague
7.9%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 60s agoKalshi 12%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Atlético Madrid
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
VfB Stuttgart
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Bodø/Glimt
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 60s agoKalshi 2%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Fenerbahçe
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabah
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Polymarket
Feyenoord
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 60s agoKalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.

Fenerbahce
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 60s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bayern Munich on Polymarket at 23¢, sell on Kalshi at 27¢ (400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: May 9, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 20, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes May 9, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 20, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • PSG
  • Barcelona
  • Real Madrid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list PSG for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Champions League Final Qualifiers". PSG leads at 43%. Next is Barcelona at 35.6%. $7K has traded across 46 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 20, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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