The Prediction Markets

Champions League Semifinals Qualifiers

Closes
Apr 29, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Barcelona 66%

Next is Real Madrid at 58%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Barcelona
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Madrid
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Kalshi
PSG
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bayern Munich
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$231
Trade this on Kalshi
Arsenal
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$367
Trade this on Kalshi
Liverpool
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Kalshi
Atletico
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dortmund
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester United
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Aston Villa
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 26 more outcomes
Sporting CP
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inter
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Como
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fenerbahce
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Roma
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Kalshi
AEK Athens
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Club Brugge
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
LASK
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Porto
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Villarreal
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Leipzig
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lens
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Feyenoord
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester City
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Bodoe/Glimt
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Napoli
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Betis
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shakhtar
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Galatasaray
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Viking
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lille
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slavia Prague
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabah Masazir
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovan Bratislava
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
PSV Eindhoven
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Barcelona
  • Real Madrid
  • PSG

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Champions League Semifinals Qualifiers". Barcelona leads at 66%. Next is Real Madrid at 58%. $3K has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 29, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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