The Prediction Markets

Chewy active customers in Q3

Closes
Apr 8, 2027, in 6 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 21.7 million 97.5%

Next is Above 21.825 million at 91.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 21.7 million
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 40s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.7 million
Last price
97.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.825 million
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.825 million
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.8 million
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.8 million
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.85 million
83.5%
Kalshi 83.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.85 million
Last price
83.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.875 million
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.875 million
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.9 million
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.9 million
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.925 million
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.925 million
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$491
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.95 million
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.95 million
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 21.975 million
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 21.975 million
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 22.0 million
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22.0 million
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 22.1 million
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 22.1 million
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fiscal.ai

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 21.7 million
  • Above 21.825 million
  • Above 21.8 million

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chewy active customers in Q3". Above 21.7 million leads at 97.5%. Next is Above 21.825 million at 91.5%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 8, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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