The Prediction Markets

Chicago: Team Specials

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Colston Loveland records 125+ receiving yards in a single game 23%

Next is Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown at 23%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Colston Loveland records 125+ receiving yards in a single game
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Colston Loveland records 125+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luther Burden III records 150+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$792
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago throw for 400+ yards in a single game
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago throw for 400+ yards in a single game
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Monangai records 50+ rushing yards and 50+ receiving yards in a single game
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Monangai records 50+ rushing yards and 50+ receiving yards in a single game
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$863
Trade this on Kalshi
Caleb Williams throws 5+ passing touchdowns in a single game
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caleb Williams throws 5+ passing touchdowns in a single game
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago allow 0 points in a single game
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago allow 0 points in a single game
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$419
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago records 8+ sacks in a single game
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago records 8+ sacks in a single game
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Montez Sweat records 3+ sacks in a single game
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Montez Sweat records 3+ sacks in a single game
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Colston Loveland records 125+ receiving yards in a single game
  • Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown
  • Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chicago: Team Specials". Colston Loveland records 125+ receiving yards in a single game leads at 23%. Next is Luther Burden III scores a rushing touchdown at 23%. $12K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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