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What the markets expect
Caleb Wilson: 1+ 99%
Next is Caleb Wilson: 2+ at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Caleb Wilson: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 27s agoNo askCaleb Wilson: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Caleb Wilson: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 27s ago
No ask
Caleb Wilson: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $84
Caleb Wilson: 2+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 27s agoNo askCaleb Wilson: 2+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Caleb Wilson: 2+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 27s ago
No ask
Caleb Wilson: 2+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 2+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $62
Matas Buzelis: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 27s agoNo askMatas Buzelis: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Matas Buzelis: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 27s ago
No ask
Matas Buzelis: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $191
Ryan Rollins: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 27s agoNo askRyan Rollins: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Ryan Rollins: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 27s ago
No ask
Ryan Rollins: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 27s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $8
Matas Buzelis: 2+43%43%15¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Matas Buzelis: 2+43%Kalshi 43%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Matas Buzelis: 2+
43%
43%
15¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Matas Buzelis: 2+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 2+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 2+34.5%34.5%1¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 27s ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 2+34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 2+
34.5%
34.5%
1¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 2+
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 2+
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 1+32.5%32.5%1¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 27s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 1+32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 1+
32.5%
32.5%
1¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 1+
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 1+
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Kyle Kuzma: 2+32%32%1¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 27s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Kyle Kuzma: 2+32%Kalshi 32%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kyle Kuzma: 2+
32%
32%
1¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kyle Kuzma: 2+
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kuzma: 2+
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Jalen Smith: 1+29%29%12¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 27s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Jalen Smith: 1+29%Kalshi 29%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Jalen Smith: 1+
29%
29%
12¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Jalen Smith: 1+
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Smith: 1+
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $19
Josh Giddey: 1+5%5%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Josh Giddey: 1+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Giddey: 1+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Giddey: 1+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Giddey: 1+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Josh Giddey: 2+5%5%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Josh Giddey: 2+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Giddey: 2+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Giddey: 2+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Giddey: 2+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 1+5%5%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Kel'el Ware: 1+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 1+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 1+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kel'el Ware: 1+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 2+5%5%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Kel'el Ware: 2+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 2+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kel'el Ware: 2+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kel'el Ware: 2+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Ryan Rollins: 2+5%5%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Ryan Rollins: 2+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ryan Rollins: 2+
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Ryan Rollins: 2+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 2+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Kyle Kuzma: 1+4%4%1¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 27s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Kyle Kuzma: 1+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kyle Kuzma: 1+
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kyle Kuzma: 1+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kuzma: 1+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $18
Jalen Smith: 2+3%3%2¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 27s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Jalen Smith: 2+3%Kalshi 3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jalen Smith: 2+
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 27s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Jalen Smith: 2+
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Smith: 2+
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Caleb Wilson: 1+
- Caleb Wilson: 2+
- Matas Buzelis: 1+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Chicago vs Milwaukee: Blocks". Caleb Wilson: 1+ leads at 99%. Next is Caleb Wilson: 2+ at 99%. $2K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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