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What the markets expect
Matas Buzelis: 10+ 82.5%
Next is Caleb Wilson: 10+ at 70%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Matas Buzelis: 10+82.5%82.5%76¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 4 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Matas Buzelis: 10+82.5%Kalshi 82.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Matas Buzelis: 10+
82.5%
82.5%
76¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Matas Buzelis: 10+
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 10+
- Last price
- 82.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Caleb Wilson: 10+70%70%64¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 4 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Caleb Wilson: 10+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Caleb Wilson: 10+
70%
70%
64¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Caleb Wilson: 10+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 10+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $5
Jalen Smith: 10+70%70%69¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 4 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Jalen Smith: 10+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jalen Smith: 10+
70%
70%
69¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jalen Smith: 10+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Smith: 10+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $7
Josh Giddey: 10+70%70%67¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 4 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Josh Giddey: 10+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Josh Giddey: 10+
70%
70%
67¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Josh Giddey: 10+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Giddey: 10+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $6
Norman Powell: 15+70%70%64¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 4 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Norman Powell: 15+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Norman Powell: 15+
70%
70%
64¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Norman Powell: 15+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norman Powell: 15+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $5
Ryan Rollins: 10+70%70%70¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 4 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Ryan Rollins: 10+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Ryan Rollins: 10+
70%
70%
70¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Ryan Rollins: 10+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 10+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $5
Tyler Herro: 15+70%70%66¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 4 min ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Tyler Herro: 15+70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Tyler Herro: 15+
70%
70%
66¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Tyler Herro: 15+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Herro: 15+
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $5
Tyler Herro: 20+66%66%63¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 4 min ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Tyler Herro: 20+66%Kalshi 66%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Tyler Herro: 20+
66%
66%
63¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Tyler Herro: 20+
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Herro: 20+
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Ryan Rollins: 15+65%65%62¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 4 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Ryan Rollins: 15+65%Kalshi 65%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Ryan Rollins: 15+
65%
65%
62¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Ryan Rollins: 15+
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 15+
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Caleb Wilson: 15+63%63%60¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Caleb Wilson: 15+63%Kalshi 63%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Caleb Wilson: 15+
63%
63%
60¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Caleb Wilson: 15+
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 15+
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 10+62%62%40¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 4 min ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 10+62%Kalshi 62%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 10+
62%
62%
40¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 10+
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 10+
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Matas Buzelis: 15+62%62%58¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 4 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Matas Buzelis: 15+62%Kalshi 62%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Matas Buzelis: 15+
62%
62%
58¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Matas Buzelis: 15+
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 15+
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Myles Turner: 10+60.5%60.5%58¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Myles Turner: 10+60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Myles Turner: 10+
60.5%
60.5%
58¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Myles Turner: 10+
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myles Turner: 10+
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Kyle Kuzma: 10+58.5%58.5%56¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 4 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Kyle Kuzma: 10+58.5%Kalshi 58.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kyle Kuzma: 10+
58.5%
58.5%
56¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kyle Kuzma: 10+
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kuzma: 10+
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Norman Powell: 20+50.5%50.5%46¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 4 min ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Norman Powell: 20+50.5%Kalshi 50.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Norman Powell: 20+
50.5%
50.5%
46¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Norman Powell: 20+
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norman Powell: 20+
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 15+47.5%47.5%38¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 4 min ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 15+47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 15+
47.5%
47.5%
38¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 15+
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 15+
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
Josh Giddey: 15+43.5%43.5%35¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 4 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Josh Giddey: 15+43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Josh Giddey: 15+
43.5%
43.5%
35¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Josh Giddey: 15+
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Giddey: 15+
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Tyler Herro: 25+40%40%34¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 4 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Tyler Herro: 25+40%Kalshi 40%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Tyler Herro: 25+
40%
40%
34¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Tyler Herro: 25+
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Herro: 25+
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Ryan Rollins: 20+38.5%38.5%36¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 4 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Ryan Rollins: 20+38.5%Kalshi 38.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Ryan Rollins: 20+
38.5%
38.5%
36¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Ryan Rollins: 20+
38.5%
Kalshi 38.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 20+
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Caleb Wilson: 20+31%31%29¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 4 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Caleb Wilson: 20+31%Kalshi 31%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Caleb Wilson: 20+
31%
31%
29¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Caleb Wilson: 20+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 20+
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
Matas Buzelis: 20+29%29%23¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 4 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Matas Buzelis: 20+29%Kalshi 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Matas Buzelis: 20+
29%
29%
23¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Matas Buzelis: 20+
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 20+
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Jalen Smith: 15+28.5%28.5%17¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 4 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Jalen Smith: 15+28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Jalen Smith: 15+
28.5%
28.5%
17¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Jalen Smith: 15+
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Smith: 15+
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+28%28%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 4 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+
28%
28%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 20+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $61
Norman Powell: 25+28%28%25¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 4 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Norman Powell: 25+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Norman Powell: 25+
28%
28%
25¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Norman Powell: 25+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norman Powell: 25+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Myles Turner: 15+27%27%24¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 4 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Myles Turner: 15+27%Kalshi 27%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Myles Turner: 15+
27%
27%
24¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Myles Turner: 15+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myles Turner: 15+
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Kyle Kuzma: 15+25%25%23¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 4 min ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Kyle Kuzma: 15+25%Kalshi 25%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kyle Kuzma: 15+
25%
25%
23¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kyle Kuzma: 15+
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kuzma: 15+
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $1
Tyler Herro: 30+19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 4 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Tyler Herro: 30+19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tyler Herro: 30+
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tyler Herro: 30+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Herro: 30+
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Caleb Wilson: 25+15.5%15.5%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 4 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Caleb Wilson: 25+15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Caleb Wilson: 25+
15.5%
15.5%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Caleb Wilson: 25+
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Wilson: 25+
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Josh Giddey: 20+14.5%14.5%3¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 4 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Josh Giddey: 20+14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Josh Giddey: 20+
14.5%
14.5%
3¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Josh Giddey: 20+
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Giddey: 20+
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Ryan Rollins: 25+13.5%13.5%6¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 4 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Ryan Rollins: 25+13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Ryan Rollins: 25+
13.5%
13.5%
6¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Ryan Rollins: 25+
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Rollins: 25+
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Jalen Smith: 20+11.5%11.5%6¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 4 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Jalen Smith: 20+11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jalen Smith: 20+
11.5%
11.5%
6¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Jalen Smith: 20+
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Smith: 20+
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Matas Buzelis: 25+10%10%5¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Matas Buzelis: 25+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Matas Buzelis: 25+
10%
10%
5¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Matas Buzelis: 25+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matas Buzelis: 25+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Norman Powell: 30+10%10%5¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Norman Powell: 30+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Norman Powell: 30+
10%
10%
5¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Norman Powell: 30+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Norman Powell: 30+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 25+9%9%7¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 4 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 25+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 25+
9%
9%
7¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 25+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 25+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Kyle Kuzma: 20+8.5%8.5%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Kyle Kuzma: 20+8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kyle Kuzma: 20+
8.5%
8.5%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kyle Kuzma: 20+
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Kuzma: 20+
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Myles Turner: 20+7.5%7.5%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Myles Turner: 20+7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Myles Turner: 20+
7.5%
7.5%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Myles Turner: 20+
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Myles Turner: 20+
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Matas Buzelis: 10+
- Caleb Wilson: 10+
- Jalen Smith: 10+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Chicago vs Milwaukee: Points". Matas Buzelis: 10+ leads at 82.5%. Next is Caleb Wilson: 10+ at 70%. $2K has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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