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What the markets expect
Over 210.5 points 94%
Next is Over 212.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 210.5 points94%94%93¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 23s ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 210.5 points94%Kalshi 94%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 210.5 points
94%
94%
93¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 210.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 210.5 points
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $304
Over 212.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 23s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 212.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 212.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 212.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 212.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 214.5 points91.5%91.5%90¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 23s ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 214.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 214.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
90¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 214.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 214.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 216.5 points90%90%88¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 23s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 216.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 216.5 points
90%
90%
88¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 216.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 216.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 218.5 points87.5%87.5%86¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 23s ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 218.5 points87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 218.5 points
87.5%
87.5%
86¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 218.5 points
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 218.5 points
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 220.5 points84%84%83¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 23s ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 220.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 220.5 points
84%
84%
83¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 220.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 220.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Over 222.5 points82%82%80¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 23s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Over 222.5 points82%Kalshi 82%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Over 222.5 points
82%
82%
80¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Over 222.5 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 222.5 points
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $3
Over 224.5 points78%78%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 23s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 224.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 224.5 points
78%
78%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 224.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 224.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Over 226.5 points74%74%73¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 23s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Over 226.5 points74%Kalshi 74%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Over 226.5 points
74%
74%
73¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Over 226.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 226.5 points
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Over 228.5 points70%70%69¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 23s ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Over 228.5 points70%Kalshi 70%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 228.5 points
70%
70%
69¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 228.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 228.5 points
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 230.5 points66.5%66.5%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 23s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 230.5 points66.5%Kalshi 66.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 230.5 points
66.5%
66.5%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 230.5 points
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 230.5 points
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 232.5 points62.5%62.5%61¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 23s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Over 232.5 points62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 232.5 points
62.5%
62.5%
61¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 232.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 232.5 points
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Over 234.5 points58%58%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 23s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Over 234.5 points58%Kalshi 58%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Over 234.5 points
58%
58%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Over 234.5 points
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 234.5 points
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Over 236.5 points54%54%53¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 23s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Over 236.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 236.5 points
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 236.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 236.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $3K
Over 238.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 23s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 238.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 238.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 238.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 238.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $11K
Over 240.5 points43%43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 23s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 240.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 240.5 points
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 240.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 240.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $517
Over 242.5 points38%38%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 23s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 242.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 242.5 points
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 242.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 242.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $344
Over 244.5 points36%36%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 23s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 244.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 244.5 points
36%
36%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 244.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 244.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Over 246.5 points31%31%30¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 23s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Over 246.5 points31%Kalshi 31%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 246.5 points
31%
31%
30¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Over 246.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 246.5 points
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Over 248.5 points28.5%28.5%27¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 23s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 248.5 points28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 248.5 points
28.5%
28.5%
27¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 248.5 points
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 248.5 points
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Over 250.5 points25.5%25.5%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 23s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Over 250.5 points25.5%Kalshi 25.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 250.5 points
25.5%
25.5%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Over 250.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 250.5 points
- Last price
- 25.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Over 252.5 points21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 23s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 252.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 252.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 252.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 252.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 254.5 points19%19%18¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 23s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 254.5 points19%Kalshi 19%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 254.5 points
19%
19%
18¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 254.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 254.5 points
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Over 256.5 points16%16%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 23s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 256.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 256.5 points
16%
16%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 256.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 256.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 258.5 points14%14%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 23s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 258.5 points14%Kalshi 14%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 258.5 points
14%
14%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 258.5 points
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 258.5 points
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Over 260.5 points12%12%10¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 23s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 260.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 260.5 points
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 260.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 260.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $204
Over 262.5 points9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 23s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 262.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 262.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 262.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 262.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Over 264.5 points8%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 23s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 264.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 264.5 points
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 264.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 264.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 266.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 23s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 266.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 266.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 266.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 266.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 210.5 points
- Over 212.5 points
- Over 214.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Chicago vs Milwaukee: Total Points". Over 210.5 points leads at 94%. Next is Over 212.5 points at 93%. $16K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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