The Prediction Markets

Chinese Super League: 2026 Runner-Up

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Chengdu Rongcheng 63.5%

Next is Dalian Yingbo at 50%. The venues differ most on Chengdu Rongcheng (Polymarket 8%, Kalshi 82%), a 74-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Chengdu RongchengArb
63.5%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 82%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chengdu Rongcheng
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chengdu Rongcheng
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 15¢ and selling on Kalshi at 81¢ nets 6600 bps before fees.

Dalian Yingbo
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dalian Yingbo
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Shandong Taishan
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shandong Taishan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Beijing Guoan
44.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beijing Guoan
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Beijing Guoan
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 76¢.

Dalian Yingbo FC
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dalian Yingbo FC
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$294
Trade this on Kalshi
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Henan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Henan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Liaoning Tieren FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liaoning Tieren FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Qingdao West Coast FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qingdao West Coast FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Qingdao West Coast FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qingdao Hainiu FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shandong Taishan FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Kalshi
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shanghai Shenhua FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shanghai Port FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Shenzhen Peng City
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shenzhen Peng City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Wuhan Three Towns FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wuhan Three Towns FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Yunnan Yukun
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yunnan Yukun
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Zhejiang FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zhejiang FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Chengdu Rongcheng on Polymarket at 15¢, sell on Kalshi at 81¢ (6600 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 30, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: csl-china.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 30, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Chengdu Rongcheng
  • Dalian Yingbo
  • Shandong Taishan

Live prices for Chengdu Rongcheng

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chinese Super League: 2026 Runner-Up". Chengdu Rongcheng leads at 63.5%. Next is Dalian Yingbo at 50%. $4K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Chinese Super League for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Chinese Super League for the 2026 season per the rules of Chinese Super League (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Chinese Super League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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