The Prediction Markets

Chinese Super League: Winner

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Chengdu Rongcheng 88.9%

Next is Beijing Guoan at 39%. The venues differ most on Chengdu Rongcheng (Polymarket 86.9%, Kalshi 95%), a 8.1-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Chengdu Rongcheng
88.9%
Polymarket 86.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chengdu Rongcheng
Last price
86.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89.8¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Chengdu Rongcheng
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 79¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 89.8¢.

Beijing Guoan
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beijing Guoan
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Kalshi
Dalian Yingbo
15.8%
Polymarket 15.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $481 (4.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dalian Yingbo
Last price
15.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20.8¢
Sell Yes
10.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$481 (4.81x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dalian Yingbo FC
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dalian Yingbo FC
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$292
Trade this on Kalshi
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Henan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Henan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Liaoning Tieren FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liaoning Tieren FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Qingdao West Coast FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qingdao West Coast FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Qingdao West Coast FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Qingdao Hainiu FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shandong Taishan FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shanghai Shenhua FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Shanghai Port FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shanghai Port FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
Shenzhen Peng City
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shenzhen Peng City
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Wuhan Three Towns FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wuhan Three Towns FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Yunnan Yukun
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yunnan Yukun
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Zhejiang FC
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zhejiang FC
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 30, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Dec 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 30, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Chengdu Rongcheng
  • Beijing Guoan
  • Dalian Yingbo

Live prices for Chengdu Rongcheng

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Chinese Super League: Winner". Chengdu Rongcheng leads at 88.9%. Next is Beijing Guoan at 39%. $23K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Chinese Super League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Chinese Super League per the rules of Chinese Super League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Chinese Super League; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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