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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Above 100 thousand 97%
Next is Above 102 thousand at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 100 thousand97%97%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 100 thousand97%Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 100 thousand
97%
97%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 100 thousand
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 100 thousand
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $212
Above 102 thousand97%97%92¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 102 thousand97%Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 102 thousand
97%
97%
92¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 102 thousand
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 102 thousand
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $9
Above 104 thousand95%95%90¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Above 104 thousand95%Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 104 thousand
95%
95%
90¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Above 104 thousand
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 104 thousand
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $378
Above 106 thousand94%94%89¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 106 thousand94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 106 thousand
94%
94%
89¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 106 thousand
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 106 thousand
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $453
Above 108 thousand94%94%88¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Above 108 thousand94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Above 108 thousand
94%
94%
88¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Above 108 thousand
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 108 thousand
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $481
Above 110 thousand94%94%88¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 110 thousand94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 110 thousand
94%
94%
88¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 110 thousand
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 110 thousand
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $4K
Above 122 thousand92%92%84¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Above 122 thousand92%Kalshi 92%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 122 thousand
92%
92%
84¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 122 thousand
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 122 thousand
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $15
Above 112 thousand90.5%90.5%86¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 112 thousand90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 112 thousand
90.5%
90.5%
86¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 112 thousand
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 112 thousand
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 114 thousand90.5%90.5%86¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 1 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Above 114 thousand90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 114 thousand
90.5%
90.5%
86¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Above 114 thousand
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 114 thousand
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Above 120 thousand90%90%84¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Above 120 thousand90%Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 120 thousand
90%
90%
84¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 120 thousand
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 120 thousand
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $15
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Above 116 thousand89.5%89.5%85¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Above 116 thousand89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above 116 thousand
89.5%
89.5%
85¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above 116 thousand
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 116 thousand
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Above 118 thousand89.5%89.5%85¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Above 118 thousand89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above 118 thousand
89.5%
89.5%
85¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Above 118 thousand
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 118 thousand
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Above 124 thousand88.5%88.5%84¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 1 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Above 124 thousand88.5%Kalshi 88.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 124 thousand
88.5%
88.5%
84¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Above 124 thousand
88.5%
Kalshi 88.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 124 thousand
- Last price
- 88.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Above 126 thousand87.5%87.5%83¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Above 126 thousand87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 126 thousand
87.5%
87.5%
83¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 126 thousand
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 126 thousand
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Above 128 thousand87.5%87.5%83¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 1 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Above 128 thousand87.5%Kalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 128 thousand
87.5%
87.5%
83¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Above 128 thousand
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 128 thousand
- Last price
- 87.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Above 130 thousand85.5%85.5%81¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Above 130 thousand85.5%Kalshi 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 130 thousand
85.5%
85.5%
81¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Above 130 thousand
85.5%
Kalshi 85.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 130 thousand
- Last price
- 85.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Above 132 thousand80.5%80.5%76¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 1 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Above 132 thousand80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Above 132 thousand
80.5%
80.5%
76¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Above 132 thousand
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 132 thousand
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Above 134 thousand68.5%68.5%64¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 1 min ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Above 134 thousand68.5%Kalshi 68.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Above 134 thousand
68.5%
68.5%
64¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Above 134 thousand
68.5%
Kalshi 68.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 134 thousand
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Above 136 thousand60.5%60.5%56¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 1 min ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Above 136 thousand60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Above 136 thousand
60.5%
60.5%
56¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Above 136 thousand
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 136 thousand
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Above 138 thousand40.5%40.5%36¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 1 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Above 138 thousand40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Above 138 thousand
40.5%
40.5%
36¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Above 138 thousand
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 138 thousand
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Above 140 thousand23.5%23.5%19¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Above 140 thousand23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above 140 thousand
23.5%
23.5%
19¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Above 140 thousand
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 140 thousand
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fiscal.ai
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 100 thousand
- Above 102 thousand
- Above 104 thousand
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026". Above 100 thousand leads at 97%. Next is Above 102 thousand at 97%. $5K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 11, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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