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What the markets expect
Cincinnati over 2.5 points 95%
Next is Baltimore over 2.5 points at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Cincinnati over 2.5 points95%95%93¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 4 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Cincinnati over 2.5 points95%Kalshi 95%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Cincinnati over 2.5 points
95%
95%
93¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Cincinnati over 2.5 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Baltimore over 2.5 points85%85%74¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 4 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Baltimore over 2.5 points85%Kalshi 85%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Baltimore over 2.5 points
85%
85%
74¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Baltimore over 2.5 points
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Cincinnati over 6.5 points81%81%80¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 4 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Cincinnati over 6.5 points81%Kalshi 81%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cincinnati over 6.5 points
81%
81%
80¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Cincinnati over 6.5 points
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Baltimore over 6.5 points78%78%77¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 4 min ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Baltimore over 6.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Baltimore over 6.5 points
78%
78%
77¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Baltimore over 6.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $793
Cincinnati over 9.5 points68%68%67¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 4 min ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Cincinnati over 9.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Cincinnati over 9.5 points
68%
68%
67¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Cincinnati over 9.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Baltimore over 9.5 points62.5%62.5%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Baltimore over 9.5 points62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Baltimore over 9.5 points
62.5%
62.5%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Baltimore over 9.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Cincinnati over 10.5 points53%53%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 4 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Cincinnati over 10.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Cincinnati over 10.5 points
53%
53%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Cincinnati over 10.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $27
Cincinnati over 11.5 points53%53%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 4 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Cincinnati over 11.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Cincinnati over 11.5 points
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Cincinnati over 11.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
Cincinnati over 12.5 points52%52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 4 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Cincinnati over 12.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Cincinnati over 12.5 points
52%
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Cincinnati over 12.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $458
Baltimore over 11.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 4 min ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Baltimore over 11.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Baltimore over 11.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Baltimore over 11.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
- Volume
- $80
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Baltimore over 10.5 points46%46%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 4 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Baltimore over 10.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Baltimore over 10.5 points
46%
46%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Baltimore over 10.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Baltimore over 12.5 points44.5%44.5%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 4 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Baltimore over 12.5 points44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Baltimore over 12.5 points
44.5%
44.5%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Baltimore over 12.5 points
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Cincinnati over 13.5 points42.5%42.5%42¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 4 min ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Cincinnati over 13.5 points42.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Cincinnati over 13.5 points
42.5%
42.5%
42¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Cincinnati over 13.5 points
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
Baltimore over 13.5 points36.5%36.5%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 4 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Baltimore over 13.5 points36.5%Kalshi 36.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Baltimore over 13.5 points
36.5%
36.5%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Baltimore over 13.5 points
36.5%
Kalshi 36.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 36.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Cincinnati over 16.5 points29.5%29.5%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 4 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Cincinnati over 16.5 points29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Cincinnati over 16.5 points
29.5%
29.5%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Cincinnati over 16.5 points
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
Baltimore over 16.5 points23%23%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 4 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Baltimore over 16.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Baltimore over 16.5 points
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Baltimore over 16.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Cincinnati over 19.5 points18.5%18.5%18¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 4 min ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Cincinnati over 19.5 points18.5%Kalshi 18.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Cincinnati over 19.5 points
18.5%
18.5%
18¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Cincinnati over 19.5 points
18.5%
Kalshi 18.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Cincinnati over 20.5 points13.5%13.5%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 4 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cincinnati over 20.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cincinnati over 20.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cincinnati over 20.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Baltimore over 19.5 points12.5%12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Baltimore over 19.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Baltimore over 19.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Baltimore over 19.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 19.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Baltimore over 20.5 points9.5%9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 4 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Baltimore over 20.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Baltimore over 20.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Baltimore over 20.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Cincinnati over 23.5 points7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Cincinnati over 23.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cincinnati over 23.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cincinnati over 23.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Baltimore over 23.5 points5.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Baltimore over 23.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Baltimore over 23.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Baltimore over 23.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Baltimore over 27.5 points3.5%3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Baltimore over 27.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Baltimore over 27.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Baltimore over 27.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati over 27.5 points3.5%3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Cincinnati over 27.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati over 27.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati over 27.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Cincinnati over 30.5 points2%2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Cincinnati over 30.5 points2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cincinnati over 30.5 points
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cincinnati over 30.5 points
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Baltimore over 30.5 points1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Baltimore over 30.5 points1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore over 30.5 points
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Baltimore over 30.5 points
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Cincinnati over 2.5 points
- Baltimore over 2.5 points
- Cincinnati over 6.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cincinnati vs Baltimore: 1st Half Team Total". Cincinnati over 2.5 points leads at 95%. Next is Baltimore over 2.5 points at 85%. $1K has traded across 26 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
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