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What the markets expect
Joe Burrow: 200+ 82.5%
Next is Joe Burrow: 175+ at 64.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Joe Burrow: 200+82.5%82.5%80¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 3 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Joe Burrow: 200+82.5%Kalshi 82.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Joe Burrow: 200+
82.5%
82.5%
80¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Joe Burrow: 200+
82.5%
Kalshi 82.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 200+
- Last price
- 82.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Joe Burrow: 175+64.5%64.5%36¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 3 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Joe Burrow: 175+64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Joe Burrow: 175+
64.5%
64.5%
36¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Joe Burrow: 175+
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 175+
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Tyler Huntley: 150+46%46%9¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 3 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Tyler Huntley: 150+46%Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Tyler Huntley: 150+
46%
46%
9¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Tyler Huntley: 150+
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 150+
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Tyler Huntley: 125+45.5%45.5%— bid, 91¢ askpolled, 3 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Tyler Huntley: 125+45.5%Kalshi 45.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Tyler Huntley: 125+
45.5%
45.5%
— bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Tyler Huntley: 125+
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 125+
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Joe Burrow: 275+43%43%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Joe Burrow: 275+43%Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Joe Burrow: 275+
43%
43%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Joe Burrow: 275+
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 275+
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $872
Joe Burrow: 225+37.5%37.5%— bid, 75¢ askpolled, 3 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Joe Burrow: 225+37.5%Kalshi 37.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Joe Burrow: 225+
37.5%
37.5%
— bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Joe Burrow: 225+
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 225+
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Tyler Huntley: 175+34.5%34.5%— bid, 69¢ askpolled, 3 min ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Tyler Huntley: 175+34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Tyler Huntley: 175+
34.5%
34.5%
— bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Tyler Huntley: 175+
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 175+
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Joe Burrow: 300+31%31%16¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 3 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Joe Burrow: 300+31%Kalshi 31%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Joe Burrow: 300+
31%
31%
16¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Joe Burrow: 300+
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 300+
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $239
Joe Burrow: 250+30%30%— bid, 60¢ askpolled, 3 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Joe Burrow: 250+30%Kalshi 30%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Joe Burrow: 250+
30%
30%
— bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Joe Burrow: 250+
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 250+
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Tyler Huntley: 200+26%26%1¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 3 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Tyler Huntley: 200+26%Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Tyler Huntley: 200+
26%
26%
1¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Tyler Huntley: 200+
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 200+
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Tyler Huntley: 250+21.5%21.5%19¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Tyler Huntley: 250+21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tyler Huntley: 250+
21.5%
21.5%
19¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tyler Huntley: 250+
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 250+
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Joe Burrow: 325+19%19%17¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Joe Burrow: 325+19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Joe Burrow: 325+
19%
19%
17¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Joe Burrow: 325+
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 325+
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Tyler Huntley: 225+19%19%1¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Tyler Huntley: 225+19%Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tyler Huntley: 225+
19%
19%
1¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tyler Huntley: 225+
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 225+
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Tyler Huntley: 275+13%13%11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Tyler Huntley: 275+13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tyler Huntley: 275+
13%
13%
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tyler Huntley: 275+
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 275+
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Joe Burrow: 350+12%12%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Joe Burrow: 350+12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Joe Burrow: 350+
12%
12%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Joe Burrow: 350+
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 350+
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $1
Joe Burrow: 375+5.5%5.5%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Joe Burrow: 375+5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joe Burrow: 375+
5.5%
5.5%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joe Burrow: 375+
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 375+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Tyler Huntley: 300+4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Tyler Huntley: 300+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tyler Huntley: 300+
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tyler Huntley: 300+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 300+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Joe Burrow: 400+3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Joe Burrow: 400+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Joe Burrow: 400+
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Joe Burrow: 400+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow: 400+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Tyler Huntley: 325+3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Tyler Huntley: 325+3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tyler Huntley: 325+
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Tyler Huntley: 325+
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Huntley: 325+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Joe Burrow: 200+
- Joe Burrow: 175+
- Tyler Huntley: 150+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cincinnati vs Baltimore: Passing Yards". Joe Burrow: 200+ leads at 82.5%. Next is Joe Burrow: 175+ at 64.5%. $1K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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