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What the markets expect
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points 49%
Next is Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points at 46%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 22 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points49%49%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 22 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $36K
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points46%46%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 22 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $111K
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 22 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $6K
Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points41%41%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 22 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points
41%
41%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $15K
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points37%37%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 22 min ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points
37%
37%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $12K
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points35%35%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 22 min ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $12K
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points34%34%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 22 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points
34%
34%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $938
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points33%33%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 22 min ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points33%Kalshi 33%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points
33%
33%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 points30%30%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 22 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 points
30%
30%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points29%29%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 22 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 points29%29%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 22 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 points
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $6K
Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points25%25%24¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points25%Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points
25%
25%
24¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $755
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points24%24%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 22 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $49K
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points21%21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $2K
Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points21%21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $104
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points18%18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 22 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $7K
Cincinnati wins by over 9.5 points17%17%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 22 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Cincinnati wins by over 9.5 points17%Kalshi 17%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cincinnati wins by over 9.5 points
17%
17%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cincinnati wins by over 9.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points15%15%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 22 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points15%15%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 22 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points
15%
15%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $9
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points13%13%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 22 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $216
Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 points12%12%11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 22 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 points
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points10.5%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 points10%10%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 points
10%
10%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cincinnati wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points9%9%8¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 22 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points
9%
9%
8¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
- Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
- Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cincinnati vs Baltimore: Spread". Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points leads at 49%. Next is Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points at 46%. $268K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco18%$194.9M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee64.7%$133.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$44.9M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen27%$36.6M traded