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What the markets expect
Over 29.5 points 95%
Next is Over 32.5 points at 90.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 29.5 points95%95%94¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 29.5 points95%Kalshi 95%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 29.5 points
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 29.5 points
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 29.5 points
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $24
Over 32.5 points90.5%90.5%89¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 2 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Over 32.5 points90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 32.5 points
90.5%
90.5%
89¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Over 32.5 points
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 32.5 points
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Over 35.5 points86%86%85¢ bid, 87¢ askpolled, 2 h ago87¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $115 (1.15x)Over 35.5 points86%Kalshi 86%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 35.5 points
86%
86%
85¢ bid, 87¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
87¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Over 35.5 points
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 87¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $115 (1.15x)
Over 38.5 points80%80%80¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 2 h ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 38.5 points80%Kalshi 80%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 38.5 points
80%
80%
80¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 38.5 points
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 41.5 points71%71%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 2 h ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 41.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 41.5 points
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 41.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 44.5 points62%62%62¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 2 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Over 44.5 points62%Kalshi 62%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 44.5 points
62%
62%
62¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 44.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 44.5 points
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $184
Over 47.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 2 h ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Over 47.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 47.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Over 47.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 47.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $752
Over 48.5 points51%51%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 2 h ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 48.5 points51%Kalshi 51%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 48.5 points
51%
51%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 48.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 48.5 points
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $13K
Over 49.5 points46%46%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 2 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Over 49.5 points46%Kalshi 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 49.5 points
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Over 49.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $334K
Over 50.5 points44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 2 h ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 50.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 50.5 points
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 50.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 50.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Over 51.5 points41%41%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 2 h ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Over 51.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 51.5 points
41%
41%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 51.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 51.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $980
Over 52.5 points38%38%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 2 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Over 52.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 52.5 points
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 52.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 52.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $680
Over 53.5 points37%37%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 2 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 53.5 points37%Kalshi 37%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 53.5 points
37%
37%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 53.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $16
Over 56.5 points29%29%29¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 2 h ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Over 56.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 56.5 points
29%
29%
29¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Over 56.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 56.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 59.5 points23%23%21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 2 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 59.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 59.5 points
23%
23%
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 59.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 59.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 62.5 points15%15%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 2 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 62.5 points15%Kalshi 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 62.5 points
15%
15%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 62.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 62.5 points
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $940
Over 65.5 points12%12%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 65.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 65.5 points
12%
12%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 65.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $6
Over 68.5 points8.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 2 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 68.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 68.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 68.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 68.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 71.5 points7%7%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 71.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 71.5 points
7%
7%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 71.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 71.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $92
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 29.5 points
- Over 32.5 points
- Over 35.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cincinnati vs Baltimore: Total Points". Over 29.5 points leads at 95%. Next is Over 32.5 points at 90.5%. $358K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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