The Prediction Markets

"Clayface" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$1.3M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

50+ 99.6%

Next is 60+ at 99.3%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
50+
99.6%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
60+
99.3%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
98.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 45
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 52
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 52
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 57
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 57
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 62
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 62
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$98K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Above 67
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 67
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$169K
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
75+
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
75+
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 75
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$153K
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 77
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 77
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$247K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$161K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$122K
Trade this on Kalshi
90+
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 50+
  • 60+
  • Above 45

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 50+ for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Clayface" Rotten Tomatoes Score?". 50+ leads at 99.6%. Next is 60+ at 99.3%. $1.3M has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Clayface is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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