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What the markets expect
Over 49.5 points 90%
Next is Over 51.5 points at 84.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 49.5 points90%90%89¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 30s ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 49.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 49.5 points
90%
90%
89¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 49.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 49.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 51.5 points84.5%84.5%83¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 30s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Over 51.5 points84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 51.5 points
84.5%
84.5%
83¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Over 51.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 51.5 points
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
Over 53.5 points78.5%78.5%77¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 30s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Over 53.5 points78.5%Kalshi 78.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 53.5 points
78.5%
78.5%
77¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Over 53.5 points
78.5%
Kalshi 78.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 78.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Over 55.5 points71%71%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 30s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Over 55.5 points71%Kalshi 71%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 55.5 points
71%
71%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Over 55.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 55.5 points
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Over 57.5 points62%62%62¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 30s ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Over 57.5 points62%Kalshi 62%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 57.5 points
62%
62%
62¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Over 57.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Over 59.5 points54%54%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 30s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 59.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 59.5 points
54%
54%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 59.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 59.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $9
Over 61.5 points45%45%44¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 30s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Over 61.5 points45%Kalshi 45%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 61.5 points
45%
45%
44¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 61.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 61.5 points
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 63.5 points36%36%31¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 30s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 63.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 63.5 points
36%
36%
31¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 63.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 63.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Over 65.5 points28%28%22¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 30s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 65.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 65.5 points
28%
28%
22¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 65.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Over 67.5 points23%23%23¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 30s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Over 67.5 points23%Kalshi 23%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 67.5 points
23%
23%
23¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Over 67.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 67.5 points
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Show 3 more outcomesHide 3 outcomes
Over 69.5 points14.5%14.5%11¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 30s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Over 69.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 69.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
11¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Over 69.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 69.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Over 71.5 points12%12%5¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 30s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 71.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 71.5 points
12%
12%
5¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 71.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 71.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 73.5 points6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 30s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 73.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 73.5 points
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 30s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 73.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 73.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 49.5 points
- Over 51.5 points
- Over 53.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cleveland vs Philadelphia: 3rd Quarter Total". Over 49.5 points leads at 90%. Next is Over 51.5 points at 84.5%. $2K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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