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What the markets expect
Donovan Mitchell 60%
Next is Anfernee Simons at 47.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Donovan Mitchell60%60%10¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Donovan Mitchell60%Kalshi 60%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Donovan Mitchell
60%
60%
10¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Donovan Mitchell
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donovan Mitchell
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $424
Anfernee Simons47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Anfernee Simons47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Anfernee Simons
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Anfernee Simons
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anfernee Simons
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Jaylon Tyson47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Jaylon Tyson47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jaylon Tyson
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Jaylon Tyson
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaylon Tyson
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Kentavious Caldwell-Pope47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Sam Merrill47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Sam Merrill47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Sam Merrill
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Sam Merrill
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Merrill
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
VJ Edgecombe47.5%47.5%— bid, 95¢ askpolled, 2 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)VJ Edgecombe47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
VJ Edgecombe
47.5%
47.5%
— bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
VJ Edgecombe
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- VJ Edgecombe
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Jaylen Brown14%14%— bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Jaylen Brown14%Kalshi 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Jaylen Brown
14%
14%
— bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Jaylen Brown
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaylen Brown
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $747
Joel Embiid10%10%— bid, 90¢ askpolled, 2 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Joel Embiid10%Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Joel Embiid
10%
10%
— bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Joel Embiid
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joel Embiid
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
James Harden9%9%— bid, 83¢ askpolled, 2 min ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)James Harden9%Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
James Harden
9%
9%
— bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
James Harden
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Harden
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
- Volume
- $503
Evan Mobley7%7%— bid, 73¢ askpolled, 2 min ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Evan Mobley7%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Evan Mobley
7%
7%
— bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Evan Mobley
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Evan Mobley
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $356
Show 4 more outcomesHide 4 outcomes
Jarrett Allen6%6%— bid, 82¢ askpolled, 2 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Jarrett Allen6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Jarrett Allen
6%
6%
— bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Jarrett Allen
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jarrett Allen
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $416
LeBron James2%2%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 2 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)LeBron James2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
LeBron James
2%
2%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
LeBron James
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LeBron James
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $555
Peyton Watson2%2%— bid, 88¢ askpolled, 2 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Peyton Watson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Peyton Watson
2%
2%
— bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Peyton Watson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Peyton Watson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
- Volume
- $150
Tyrese Maxey2%2%2¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 2 min ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Tyrese Maxey2%Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Tyrese Maxey
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Tyrese Maxey
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyrese Maxey
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Donovan Mitchell
- Anfernee Simons
- Jaylon Tyson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cleveland vs Philadelphia: Points Leader". Donovan Mitchell leads at 60%. Next is Anfernee Simons at 47.5%. $5K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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