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What the markets expect
Tony Pollard: 40+ 81%
Next is Deshaun Watson: 15+ at 80%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Tony Pollard: 40+81%81%77¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 25s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Tony Pollard: 40+81%Kalshi 81%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Tony Pollard: 40+
81%
81%
77¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Tony Pollard: 40+
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 40+
- Last price
- 81%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $1
Deshaun Watson: 15+80%80%78¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 25s ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Deshaun Watson: 15+80%Kalshi 80%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Deshaun Watson: 15+
80%
80%
78¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Deshaun Watson: 15+
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 15+
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 78¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Quinshon Judkins: 25+77%77%70¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 25s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Quinshon Judkins: 25+77%Kalshi 77%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Quinshon Judkins: 25+
77%
77%
70¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Quinshon Judkins: 25+
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 25+
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Quinshon Judkins: 30+70.5%70.5%64¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 25s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Quinshon Judkins: 30+70.5%Kalshi 70.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Quinshon Judkins: 30+
70.5%
70.5%
64¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Quinshon Judkins: 30+
70.5%
Kalshi 70.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 30+
- Last price
- 70.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Deshaun Watson: 20+68%68%68¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 25s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)Deshaun Watson: 20+68%Kalshi 68%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Deshaun Watson: 20+
68%
68%
68¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Deshaun Watson: 20+
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 20+
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
- Volume
- $25
Tony Pollard: 50+67%67%67¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 25s ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Tony Pollard: 50+67%Kalshi 67%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Tony Pollard: 50+
67%
67%
67¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Tony Pollard: 50+
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 50+
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 67¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Quinshon Judkins: 40+61%61%51¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 25s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Quinshon Judkins: 40+61%Kalshi 61%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Quinshon Judkins: 40+
61%
61%
51¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Quinshon Judkins: 40+
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 40+
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Deshaun Watson: 25+60%60%58¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 25s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Deshaun Watson: 25+60%Kalshi 60%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Deshaun Watson: 25+
60%
60%
58¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Deshaun Watson: 25+
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 25+
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Tony Pollard: 60+59%59%56¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 25s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Tony Pollard: 60+59%Kalshi 59%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Tony Pollard: 60+
59%
59%
56¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Tony Pollard: 60+
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 60+
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $247
Tyjae Spears: 10+50%50%47¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 25s ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Tyjae Spears: 10+50%Kalshi 50%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyjae Spears: 10+
50%
50%
47¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyjae Spears: 10+
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 10+
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Cam Ward: 10+49%49%49¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 25s ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Cam Ward: 10+49%Kalshi 49%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cam Ward: 10+
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Cam Ward: 10+
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 10+
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $74
Deshaun Watson: 30+49%49%48¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 25s ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Deshaun Watson: 30+49%Kalshi 49%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Deshaun Watson: 30+
49%
49%
48¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Deshaun Watson: 30+
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 30+
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $507
Quinshon Judkins: 50+47%47%42¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 25s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Quinshon Judkins: 50+47%Kalshi 47%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Quinshon Judkins: 50+
47%
47%
42¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Quinshon Judkins: 50+
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 50+
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $210
Tony Pollard: 70+44%44%44¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 25s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Tony Pollard: 70+44%Kalshi 44%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Tony Pollard: 70+
44%
44%
44¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Tony Pollard: 70+
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 70+
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $31
Tony Pollard: 80+35.5%35.5%34¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 25s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Tony Pollard: 80+35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tony Pollard: 80+
35.5%
35.5%
34¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tony Pollard: 80+
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 80+
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Cam Ward: 15+34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 25s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Cam Ward: 15+34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Cam Ward: 15+
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Cam Ward: 15+
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 15+
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Deshaun Watson: 40+34%34%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 25s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Deshaun Watson: 40+34%Kalshi 34%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Deshaun Watson: 40+
34%
34%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Deshaun Watson: 40+
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 40+
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $28
Tony Pollard: 90+28%28%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 25s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Tony Pollard: 90+28%Kalshi 28%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Tony Pollard: 90+
28%
28%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Tony Pollard: 90+
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 90+
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $32
Quinshon Judkins: 60+27.5%27.5%20¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 25s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Quinshon Judkins: 60+27.5%Kalshi 27.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Quinshon Judkins: 60+
27.5%
27.5%
20¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Quinshon Judkins: 60+
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 60+
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Tyjae Spears: 15+27%27%20¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 25s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Tyjae Spears: 15+27%Kalshi 27%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Tyjae Spears: 15+
27%
27%
20¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Tyjae Spears: 15+
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 15+
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Cam Ward: 20+24%24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 25s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Cam Ward: 20+24%Kalshi 24%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Cam Ward: 20+
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Cam Ward: 20+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 20+
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Deshaun Watson: 50+19.5%19.5%18¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 25s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Deshaun Watson: 50+19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Deshaun Watson: 50+
19.5%
19.5%
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Deshaun Watson: 50+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 50+
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Tony Pollard: 100+19.5%19.5%18¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 25s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Tony Pollard: 100+19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Tony Pollard: 100+
19.5%
19.5%
18¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Tony Pollard: 100+
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 100+
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Quinshon Judkins: 70+17%17%10¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 25s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Quinshon Judkins: 70+17%Kalshi 17%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Quinshon Judkins: 70+
17%
17%
10¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Quinshon Judkins: 70+
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 70+
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Cam Ward: 25+16.5%16.5%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 25s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Cam Ward: 25+16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cam Ward: 25+
16.5%
16.5%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Cam Ward: 25+
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 25+
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Tyjae Spears: 20+16%16%9¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 25s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Tyjae Spears: 20+16%Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Tyjae Spears: 20+
16%
16%
9¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Tyjae Spears: 20+
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 20+
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Tony Pollard: 110+13%13%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 25s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Tony Pollard: 110+13%Kalshi 13%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tony Pollard: 110+
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tony Pollard: 110+
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 110+
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $19
Cam Ward: 30+11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 25s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Cam Ward: 30+11%Kalshi 11%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cam Ward: 30+
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Cam Ward: 30+
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 30+
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Deshaun Watson: 60+10%10%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 25s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Deshaun Watson: 60+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Deshaun Watson: 60+
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Deshaun Watson: 60+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 60+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $3
Quinshon Judkins: 80+10%10%3¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 25s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Quinshon Judkins: 80+10%Kalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Quinshon Judkins: 80+
10%
10%
3¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Quinshon Judkins: 80+
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 80+
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Tony Pollard: 120+9.5%9.5%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 25s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Tony Pollard: 120+9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Tony Pollard: 120+
9.5%
9.5%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Tony Pollard: 120+
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 120+
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Tyjae Spears: 25+9%9%3¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 25s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Tyjae Spears: 25+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tyjae Spears: 25+
9%
9%
3¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Tyjae Spears: 25+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 25+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Tyjae Spears: 30+9%9%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 25s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Tyjae Spears: 30+9%Kalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Tyjae Spears: 30+
9%
9%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Tyjae Spears: 30+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 30+
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Quinshon Judkins: 90+7.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 25s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Quinshon Judkins: 90+7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Quinshon Judkins: 90+
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Quinshon Judkins: 90+
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 90+
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Tony Pollard: 130+6.5%6.5%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 25s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Tony Pollard: 130+6.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tony Pollard: 130+
6.5%
6.5%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tony Pollard: 130+
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 130+
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Deshaun Watson: 70+6%6%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 25s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Deshaun Watson: 70+6%Kalshi 6%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Deshaun Watson: 70+
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Deshaun Watson: 70+
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson: 70+
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Quinshon Judkins: 100+5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 25s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Quinshon Judkins: 100+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Quinshon Judkins: 100+
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Quinshon Judkins: 100+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 100+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Tony Pollard: 140+5%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 25s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Tony Pollard: 140+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tony Pollard: 140+
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tony Pollard: 140+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tony Pollard: 140+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Tyjae Spears: 40+5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 25s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Tyjae Spears: 40+5%Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tyjae Spears: 40+
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tyjae Spears: 40+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyjae Spears: 40+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Cam Ward: 40+4.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 25s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Cam Ward: 40+4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cam Ward: 40+
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Cam Ward: 40+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward: 40+
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Quinshon Judkins: 110+4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 25s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Quinshon Judkins: 110+4%Kalshi 4%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Quinshon Judkins: 110+
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Quinshon Judkins: 110+
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quinshon Judkins: 110+
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Tony Pollard: 40+
- Deshaun Watson: 15+
- Quinshon Judkins: 25+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Cleveland vs Tennessee: Rushing Yards". Tony Pollard: 40+ leads at 81%. Next is Deshaun Watson: 15+ at 80%. $1K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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