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What the markets expect
O/U 0.5 Rounds 69.5%
Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 56%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
O/U 0.5 Rounds69.5%69.5%50¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)O/U 0.5 Rounds69.5%Polymarket 69.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
69.5%
69.5%
50¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
O/U 0.5 Rounds
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 69.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds56%56%50¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)O/U 1.5 Rounds56%Polymarket 56%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
56%
56%
50¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
O/U 1.5 Rounds
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Ends before Round 3?53%53%51¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed55¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Ends before Round 3?53%Polymarket 53%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ends before Round 3?
53%
53%
51¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
55¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ends before Round 3?
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 3?
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds44%44%43¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed45¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $222 (2.22x)O/U 2.5 Rounds44%Polymarket 44%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
45¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- O/U 2.5 Rounds
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $110
Fight won by KO/TKO?40.5%40.5%31¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Fight won by KO/TKO?40.5%Polymarket 40.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
40.5%
40.5%
31¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by KO/TKO?
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw39%39%28¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Decision or Draw39%Polymarket 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
39%
39%
28¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Decision or Draw
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Decision or Draw
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?39%39%28¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Fight won by decision?39%Polymarket 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?
39%
39%
28¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Fight won by decision?
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by decision?
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov to win by KO/TKO?38.5%38.5%29¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Chopurov to win by KO/TKO?38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Chopurov to win by KO/TKO?
38.5%
38.5%
29¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Chopurov to win by KO/TKO?
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chopurov to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest36%Not listed36%5¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 5 min ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Decision / Draw / No Contest36%Kalshi 36%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
36%
Not listed
36%
5¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Decision / Draw / No Contest
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Decision / Draw / No Contest
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $333
Fight won by submission?36%36%23¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed49¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Fight won by submission?36%Polymarket 36%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Fight won by submission?
36%
36%
23¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
49¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Fight won by submission?
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight won by submission?
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Show 16 more outcomesHide 16 outcomes
Chopurov in Round 135%35%20¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Chopurov in Round 135%Polymarket 35%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 1
35%
35%
20¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 1
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chopurov in Round 1
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Fight to Go the Distance?34%34%32¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed36¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Fight to Go the Distance?34%Polymarket 34%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34%
34%
32¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
36¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Fight to Go the Distance?
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fight to Go the Distance?
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Chopurov in Round 232.5%32.5%15¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Chopurov in Round 232.5%Polymarket 32.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 2
32.5%
32.5%
15¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 2
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chopurov in Round 2
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 130%Not listed30%23¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 5 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 130%Kalshi 30%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 1
30%
Not listed
30%
23¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 1
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $384
Ends before Round 2?29.5%29.5%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Ends before Round 2?29.5%Polymarket 29.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Ends before Round 2?
29.5%
29.5%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Ends before Round 2?
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ends before Round 2?
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Chopurov in Round 328%28%6¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Chopurov in Round 328%Polymarket 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 3
28%
28%
6¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Chopurov in Round 3
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chopurov in Round 3
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 126.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Thicknesse in Round 126.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 1
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 1
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thicknesse in Round 1
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 226.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Thicknesse in Round 226.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 2
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 2
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thicknesse in Round 2
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 326.5%26.5%3¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Thicknesse in Round 326.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 3
26.5%
26.5%
3¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse in Round 3
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thicknesse in Round 3
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO?26%26%4¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed48¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO?26%Polymarket 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO?
26%
26%
4¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
48¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO?
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO?
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov16%16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 43s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov16%Polymarket 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 315%Not listed15%7¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 5 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 315%Kalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 3
15%
Not listed
15%
7¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 3
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $570
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 214%Not listed14%14¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 214%Kalshi 14%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 2
14%
Not listed
14%
14¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 2
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Asaf Chopurov to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $226
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 26.5%Not listed6.5%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 5 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 26.5%Kalshi 6.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 2
6.5%
Not listed
6.5%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 2
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 2
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 15.5%Not listed5.5%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 5 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 15.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 1
5.5%
Not listed
5.5%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 1
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 1
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 34.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 5 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 34.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 3
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 3
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colby Thicknesse to win in Round 3
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: ufc.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Paramount+, Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- O/U 0.5 Rounds
- O/U 1.5 Rounds
- Ends before Round 3?
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list O/U 0.5 Rounds for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 69.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 56%. $4K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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