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What the markets expect
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 67.8%
Next is Mely Romero Celis at 11.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 56 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera67.8%75%67.8% fair73¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 56 min ago77¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera67.8%Polymarket 75%(67.8% fair)polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
67.8%
75%
67.8% fair
73¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
77¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
67.8%
Polymarket 75%(67.8% fair)polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
- Last price
- 75%
- Fair, margin removed
- 67.8%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $25K
Mely Romero Celis11.3%12.5%11.2% fair2.8¢ bid, 22.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago22.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $452 (4.52x)Mely Romero Celis11.3%Polymarket 12.5%(11.2% fair)polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 22.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $452 (4.52x)
Mely Romero Celis
11.3%
12.5%
11.2% fair
2.8¢ bid, 22.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
22.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $452 (4.52x)
Mely Romero Celis
11.3%
Polymarket 12.5%(11.2% fair)polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 22.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $452 (4.52x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mely Romero Celis
- Last price
- 12.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $452 (4.52x)
- Volume
- $1K
Joel Padilla Peña3.7%4.1%1.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 56 min ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Joel Padilla Peña3.7%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Joel Padilla Peña
3.7%
4.1%
1.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Joel Padilla Peña
3.7%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joel Padilla Peña
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $601
Gabriela Benavides Cobos3.6%4%0.5¢ bid, 7.4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago7.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)Gabriela Benavides Cobos3.6%Polymarket 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
3.6%
4%
0.5¢ bid, 7.4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
7.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Gabriela Benavides Cobos
3.6%
Polymarket 4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 7.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,351 (13.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gabriela Benavides Cobos
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,351 (13.5x)
- Volume
- $797
Griselda Martínez Martínez3.3%3.7%0.7¢ bid, 6.6¢ askpolled, 56 min ago6.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)Griselda Martínez Martínez3.3%Polymarket 3.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3.3%
3.7%
0.7¢ bid, 6.6¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
6.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Griselda Martínez Martínez
3.3%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Griselda Martínez Martínez
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,515 (15.2x)
- Volume
- $1K
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora2.6%2.9%0.9¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 56 min ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Gricelda Valencia de la Mora2.6%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2.6%
2.9%
0.9¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2.6%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $1K
Mario Delgado Carrillo2.6%2.9%0.7¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 56 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Mario Delgado Carrillo2.6%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mario Delgado Carrillo
2.6%
2.9%
0.7¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mario Delgado Carrillo
2.6%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mario Delgado Carrillo
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez1.9%2.1%1.6¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 56 min ago2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Riult Rivera Gutiérrez1.9%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
1.9%
2.1%
1.6¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
1.9%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Margarita Moreno González1.5%1.7%0.4¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 56 min ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)Margarita Moreno González1.5%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Margarita Moreno González
1.5%
1.7%
0.4¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Margarita Moreno González
1.5%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Margarita Moreno González
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $674
Viridiana Valencia Vargas0.4%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Viridiana Valencia Vargas0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
0.4%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Viridiana Valencia Vargas
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Viridiana Valencia Vargas
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $639
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Sofía Peralta Ferro0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Sofía Peralta Ferro0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sofía Peralta Ferro
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Sofía Peralta Ferro
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sofía Peralta Ferro
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $609
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua0.3%0.4%0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua0.3%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
0.3%
0.4%
0.1¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
0.3%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $597
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $587
María Cristina Lupien0.2%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $25,000 (250x)María Cristina Lupien0.2%Polymarket 0.3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
María Cristina Lupien
0.2%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.4¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $25,000 (250x)
María Cristina Lupien
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- María Cristina Lupien
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $25,000 (250x)
- Volume
- $646
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves0.1%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Ana Karen Hernández Aceves0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
0.1%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $584
José Israel González0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)José Israel González0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
José Israel González
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
José Israel González
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- José Israel González
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $598
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez0.1%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez0.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
0.1%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $571
César Yáñez Centeno0%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)César Yáñez Centeno0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
César Yáñez Centeno
0%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
César Yáñez Centeno
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- César Yáñez Centeno
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $597
Enrique Rojas Orozco0%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Enrique Rojas Orozco0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Enrique Rojas Orozco
0%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Enrique Rojas Orozco
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Enrique Rojas Orozco
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $607
Esther Gutiérrez0%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Esther Gutiérrez0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Esther Gutiérrez
0%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Esther Gutiérrez
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Esther Gutiérrez
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $608
Hilda Lizette Moreno0%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Hilda Lizette Moreno0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hilda Lizette Moreno
0%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Hilda Lizette Moreno
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hilda Lizette Moreno
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $523
José Manuel Romero Coello0%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 56 min ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)José Manuel Romero Coello0%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
José Manuel Romero Coello
0%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 0.1¢ ask
polled, 56 min ago
0.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
José Manuel Romero Coello
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- José Manuel Romero Coello
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 56 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $617
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
- Mely Romero Celis
- Joel Padilla Peña
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Colima Governor Election Winner". Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera leads at 67.8%. Next is Mely Romero Celis at 11.3%. $42K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 7, 2027.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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