The Prediction Markets

College Football Coaches Out Before February

Closes
Feb 1, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$72K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Dave Aranda 83%

Next is Jedd Fisch at 74%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Dave Aranda
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dave Aranda
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jedd Fisch
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jedd Fisch
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$501
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Elko
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Elko
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Norvell
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Norvell
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
Deion Sanders
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deion Sanders
Last price
61%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bill Belichick
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bill Belichick
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bret Bielema
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bret Bielema
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eli Drinkwitz
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eli Drinkwitz
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeff Brohm
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeff Brohm
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Morgan Scalley
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morgan Scalley
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 27 more outcomes
Rhett Lashlee
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rhett Lashlee
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rich Rodriguez
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rich Rodriguez
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Day
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Day
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Scott Frost
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scott Frost
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Willie Fritz
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Willie Fritz
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dabo Swinney
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dabo Swinney
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kyle Whittingham
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kyle Whittingham
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Luke Fickell
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luke Fickell
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Brent Venables
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brent Venables
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Marcus Freeman
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marcus Freeman
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$589
Trade this on Kalshi
Steve Sarkisian
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Steve Sarkisian
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Lanning
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Lanning
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Mullen
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Mullen
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Joey McGuire
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joey McGuire
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Heupel
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Heupel
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Pete Golding
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pete Golding
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi
Lincoln Riley
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln Riley
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt Rhule
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Rhule
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$802
Trade this on Kalshi
Curt Cignetti
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Curt Cignetti
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirk Ferentz
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirk Ferentz
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$357
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalen DeBoer
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalen DeBoer
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matt Campbell
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matt Campbell
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalani Sitake
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalani Sitake
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$652
Trade this on Kalshi
Mario Cristobal
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mario Cristobal
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Kirby Smart
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kirby Smart
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
James Franklin
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Franklin
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lane Kiffin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 39s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lane Kiffin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox News, Associated Press, NBC Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Dave Aranda
  • Jedd Fisch
  • Mike Elko

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "College Football Coaches Out Before February". Dave Aranda leads at 83%. Next is Jedd Fisch at 74%. $72K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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