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What the markets expect
Jeremiah Smith 30.8%
Next is Darian Mensah at 16.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Jeremiah Smith30.8%41%30.8% fair41¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 47s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Jeremiah Smith30.8%Kalshi 41%(30.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jeremiah Smith
30.8%
41%
30.8% fair
41¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Jeremiah Smith
30.8%
Kalshi 41%(30.8% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeremiah Smith
- Last price
- 41%
- Fair, margin removed
- 30.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $2.4M
Darian Mensah16.5%22%16.5% fair21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 47s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Darian Mensah16.5%Kalshi 22%(16.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Darian Mensah
16.5%
22%
16.5% fair
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Darian Mensah
16.5%
Kalshi 22%(16.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Darian Mensah
- Last price
- 22%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $2.0M
Trinidad Chambliss10.5%14%10.5% fair13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 47s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Trinidad Chambliss10.5%Kalshi 14%(10.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Trinidad Chambliss
10.5%
14%
10.5% fair
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Trinidad Chambliss
10.5%
Kalshi 14%(10.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trinidad Chambliss
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $1.9M
Malachi Toney4.5%6%4.5% fair6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 47s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Malachi Toney4.5%Kalshi 6%(4.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malachi Toney
4.5%
6%
4.5% fair
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Malachi Toney
4.5%
Kalshi 6%(4.5% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malachi Toney
- Last price
- 6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2.7M
Jesse Legree3%4%3% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jesse Legree3%Kalshi 4%(3% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jesse Legree
3%
4%
3% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jesse Legree
3%
Kalshi 4%(3% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jesse Legree
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $540K
CJ Carr2.3%3%2.3% fair3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 47s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)CJ Carr2.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
CJ Carr
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
CJ Carr
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 47s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CJ Carr
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Bear Bachmeier1.5%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Bear Bachmeier1.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Bear Bachmeier
1.5%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Bear Bachmeier
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bear Bachmeier
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1.4M
Aaron Philo0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Aaron Philo0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Philo
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Philo
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Philo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $128
Ahmad Hardy0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ahmad Hardy0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ahmad Hardy
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ahmad Hardy
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ahmad Hardy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $221K
Anthony Colandrea0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Anthony Colandrea0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Colandrea
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Anthony Colandrea
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Colandrea
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $73K
Show 38 more outcomesHide 38 outcomes
Arch Manning0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Arch Manning0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arch Manning
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Arch Manning
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arch Manning
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.4M
Austin Mack0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Austin Mack0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin Mack
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin Mack
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Mack
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $62K
Austin Simmons0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Austin Simmons0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin Simmons
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin Simmons
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Simmons
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $305K
Bo Jackson0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bo Jackson0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Jackson
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Jackson
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bo Jackson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $85K
Brendan Sorsby0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brendan Sorsby0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brendan Sorsby
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brendan Sorsby
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $211K
Bryce Underwood0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bryce Underwood0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Underwood
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bryce Underwood
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Underwood
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $420K
Byrum Brown0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Byrum Brown0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Byrum Brown
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Byrum Brown
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Byrum Brown
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $355K
Charlie Becker0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charlie Becker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlie Becker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlie Becker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlie Becker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
CJ Bailey0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)CJ Bailey0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
CJ Bailey
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
CJ Bailey
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CJ Bailey
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
Colin Simmons0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Colin Simmons0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colin Simmons
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Colin Simmons
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Colin Simmons
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $63K
Conner Weigman0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Conner Weigman0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Conner Weigman
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Conner Weigman
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Conner Weigman
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $13K
Dante Moore0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dante Moore0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dante Moore
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dante Moore
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dante Moore
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $964K
Demond Williams Jr.0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Demond Williams Jr.0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Demond Williams Jr.
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Demond Williams Jr.
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Demond Williams Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $122K
Devon Dampier0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Devon Dampier0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Devon Dampier
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Devon Dampier
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Devon Dampier
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $385K
Drew Mestemaker0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Drew Mestemaker0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drew Mestemaker
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drew Mestemaker
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Mestemaker
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
Dylan Raiola0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dylan Raiola0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dylan Raiola
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dylan Raiola
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dylan Raiola
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $53K
Faizon Brandon0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Faizon Brandon0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Faizon Brandon
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Faizon Brandon
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Faizon Brandon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $753K
Gunner Stockton0.8%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 47s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Gunner Stockton0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gunner Stockton
0.8%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Gunner Stockton
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gunner Stockton
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Jadan Baugh0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jadan Baugh0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jadan Baugh
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jadan Baugh
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jadan Baugh
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.5M
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $393K
Jayden Maiava0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jayden Maiava0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Maiava
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Maiava
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Maiava
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
John Mateer0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)John Mateer0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
John Mateer
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
John Mateer
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Mateer
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $899K
Josh Hoover0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Josh Hoover0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Hoover
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Josh Hoover
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Hoover
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.1M
Julian Sayin0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Julian Sayin0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Julian Sayin
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Julian Sayin
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Sayin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Kamario Taylor0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kamario Taylor0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kamario Taylor
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kamario Taylor
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kamario Taylor
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.9M
Keelon Russell0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Keelon Russell0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Keelon Russell
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Keelon Russell
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keelon Russell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.8M
Kevin Jennings0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kevin Jennings0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kevin Jennings
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kevin Jennings
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kevin Jennings
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.2M
Kewan Lacy0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kewan Lacy0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kewan Lacy
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kewan Lacy
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kewan Lacy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $249K
LaNorris Sellers0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)LaNorris Sellers0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LaNorris Sellers
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
LaNorris Sellers
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LaNorris Sellers
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $715K
Lincoln Kienholz0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lincoln Kienholz0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lincoln Kienholz
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lincoln Kienholz
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lincoln Kienholz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $718K
Marcel Reed0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcel Reed0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcel Reed
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcel Reed
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcel Reed
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $426K
Mason Heintschel0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Mason Heintschel0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mason Heintschel
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Mason Heintschel
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Heintschel
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $15K
Nico Iamaleava0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nico Iamaleava0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Iamaleava
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nico Iamaleava
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Iamaleava
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $745
Rocco Becht0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Rocco Becht0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rocco Becht
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Rocco Becht
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rocco Becht
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $535K
Sam Leavitt0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sam Leavitt0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sam Leavitt
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sam Leavitt
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Leavitt
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $1.3M
Texas Tech (WHAM)0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Texas Tech (WHAM)0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas Tech (WHAM)
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Texas Tech (WHAM)
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas Tech (WHAM)
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $148K
Wayne Knight0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Wayne Knight0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wayne Knight
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Wayne Knight
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wayne Knight
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $149K
William “Pop” Watson III0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 47s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)William “Pop” Watson III0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
William “Pop” Watson III
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
William “Pop” Watson III
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William “Pop” Watson III
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $17K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Jeremiah Smith
- Darian Mensah
- Trinidad Chambliss
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "College Football Heisman Trophy Winner?". Jeremiah Smith leads at 30.8%. Next is Darian Mensah at 16.5%. $35.2M has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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