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What the markets expect
James Madison 21%
Next is Notre Dame at 18%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
James Madison21%21%— bid, 42¢ askpolled, 23s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)James Madison21%Kalshi 21%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
James Madison
21%
21%
— bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
James Madison
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Madison
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Notre Dame18%18%3¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 23s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Notre Dame18%Kalshi 18%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Notre Dame
18%
18%
3¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Notre Dame
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Notre Dame
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $109
Miami (FL)15%15%7¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 23s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Miami (FL)15%Kalshi 15%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Miami (FL)
15%
15%
7¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Miami (FL)
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (FL)
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $30
Texas Tech9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 23s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Texas Tech9%Kalshi 9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Texas Tech
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Texas Tech
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas Tech
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $103
Georgia8%8%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 23s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Georgia8%Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Georgia
8%
8%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Georgia
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgia
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $251
Utah8%8%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 23s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Utah8%Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Utah
8%
8%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Utah
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $25
BYU7%7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 23s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)BYU7%Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
BYU
7%
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
BYU
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BYU
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $47
Houston7%7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 23s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Houston7%Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Houston
7%
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Houston
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $71
Ohio St.Kalshi: “Oklahoma St.”6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ohio St.6%Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ohio St.
Kalshi: “Oklahoma St.”
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ohio St.
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma St.
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $25
Oklahoma6%6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Oklahoma6%Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oklahoma
6%
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oklahoma
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $337
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
Indiana5.5%5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 23s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Indiana5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Indiana
5.5%
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Indiana
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Alabama5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alabama5%Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alabama
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alabama
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alabama
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $39
Oregon5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Oregon5%Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oregon
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Oregon
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oregon
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $398
Texas5%5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Texas5%Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Texas
5%
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Texas
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $432
Kentucky4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 23s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Kentucky4%Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kentucky
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kentucky
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kentucky
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Tennessee3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 23s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Tennessee3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tennessee
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Tennessee
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Clemson3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Clemson3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Clemson
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Clemson
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clemson
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Georgia Tech3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Georgia Tech3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Georgia Tech
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Georgia Tech
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georgia Tech
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Kansas St.3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Kansas St.3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kansas St.
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kansas St.
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kansas St.
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Louisville3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Louisville3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Louisville
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Louisville
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Louisville
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Missouri3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Missouri3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Missouri
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Missouri
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Missouri
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Ole Miss3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ole Miss3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ole Miss
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ole Miss
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ole Miss
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
TCU3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)TCU3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
TCU
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
TCU
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TCU
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Texas A&M3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Texas A&M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Texas A&M
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Texas A&M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Texas A&M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Virginia3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Virginia
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia Tech3%3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 23s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Virginia Tech3%Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia Tech
3%
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Virginia Tech
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Virginia Tech
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Arizona St.2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Arizona St.2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Arizona St.
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Arizona St.
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona St.
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Baylor2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Baylor2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Baylor
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Baylor
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baylor
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Florida St.2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Florida St.2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Florida St.
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Florida St.
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florida St.
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami (OH)2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Miami (OH)2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami (OH)
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Miami (OH)
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami (OH)
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Michigan2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Pittsburgh2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 23s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Pittsburgh2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Pittsburgh
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Pittsburgh
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Arkansas2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Arkansas2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arkansas
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Arkansas
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arkansas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Auburn2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Auburn2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Auburn
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Auburn
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Auburn
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
LSU2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)LSU2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LSU
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
LSU
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- LSU
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
USC2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)USC2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
USC
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
USC
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- USC
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Vanderbilt2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 23s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Vanderbilt2%Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Vanderbilt
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Vanderbilt
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vanderbilt
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Arizona1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Arizona1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arizona
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Arizona
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
California1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)California1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
California
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
California
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- California
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Florida1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Florida1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florida
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florida
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florida
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Illinois1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Illinois1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Illinois
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Illinois
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Iowa1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Iowa1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Iowa
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Iowa
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Iowa
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Penn St.1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Penn St.1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Penn St.
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Penn St.
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St.
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
SMU1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)SMU1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SMU
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
SMU
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SMU
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
South Carolina1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)South Carolina1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
South Carolina
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
South Carolina
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- South Carolina
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Tulane1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 23s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tulane1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tulane
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tulane
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tulane
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
North Carolina St.1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)North Carolina St.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
North Carolina St.
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
North Carolina St.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- North Carolina St.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
North Texas1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)North Texas1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
North Texas
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
North Texas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- North Texas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Ohio St.1%1%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 23s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ohio St.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ohio St.
1%
1%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ohio St.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ohio St.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $65
Washington1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 23s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington1%Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 23s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- James Madison
- Notre Dame
- Miami (FL)
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "College Football Playoff: #4 Seed". James Madison leads at 21%. Next is Notre Dame at 18%. $2K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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