The Prediction Markets

College Football Playoff: Top 4 Seeds

Closes
Feb 7, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$25K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Miami (FL) 58%

Next is Notre Dame at 58%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Miami (FL)
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Notre Dame
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Notre Dame
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio St.
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio St.
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas Tech
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas Tech
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Washington
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
BYU
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
BYU
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$229
Trade this on Kalshi
Indiana
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Indiana
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ole Miss
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ole Miss
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Alabama
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alabama
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$399
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 40 more outcomes
Tennessee
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
California
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
California
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kansas St.
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kansas St.
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Carolina St.
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona St.
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona St.
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Georgia Tech
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Illinois
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Illinois
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (OH)
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SMU
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
SMU
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
South Carolina
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Carolina
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
TCU
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
TCU
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vanderbilt
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vanderbilt
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Clemson
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clemson
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Texas
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Texas
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iowa
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iowa
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
James Madison
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Madison
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Missouri
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Missouri
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Florida St.
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
USC
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
USC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$454
Trade this on Kalshi
Tulane
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tulane
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Utah
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Utah
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Louisville
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Florida
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Florida
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Kalshi
Virginia Tech
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio St.
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma St.
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Baylor
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baylor
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michigan
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michigan
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
Arizona
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arizona
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Auburn
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Auburn
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Kentucky
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kentucky
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pittsburgh
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas A&M
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas A&M
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$113
Trade this on Kalshi
Texas
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
Contract
Texas
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Kalshi
Oregon
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oregon
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
LSU
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
LSU
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$964
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$379
Trade this on Kalshi
Penn St.
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 55s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Penn St.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$75
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami (FL)
  • Notre Dame
  • Georgia

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
—
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—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "College Football Playoff: Top 4 Seeds". Miami (FL) leads at 58%. Next is Notre Dame at 58%. $25K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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